Hello, I’m top trader JinLog.
In the video I deliver a talk-show–style walkthrough; the full write-up is on the blog.
VPAR rhythm trading times the bigger flow and reacts only to high-impact news around “Mac Points” (key supports), so you can pursue returns while keeping risk contained.
Summary
Price $329.65. TSLA is building a box above the Swing Mac Point $305, preparing another push at the mid-term supply zone.
Trend is merge/form across timeframes; flows are expanding/held while rhythm shows development short term and down/turn in swing/mid.
The focus is buying at Swing/Mid Mac Points ($305 / $264) or after a first mid-supply breakout and pullback. Targets: $372 (ST) and $412 (Swing/Mid).
Investment Opinion
Short-Term: Enter on a post-breakout pullback or $305–$312 reflex dip; first target $372.
Swing: Buy partials on a clean $305 hold, scale out into $372 → $395, ride for $412.
Mid-Term: Build a core around $264; add on $412 breakout + hold for trend continuation.
Chart Explanation
Structure: $305–$350 box, probing the upper rail. A re-capture and hold above the prior mid-supply opens the runway.
Key levels: Entries = $305 / $264 or breakout-then-pullback, Targets = $372 / $412.
Risk rails: Lose $305 on a close → reset swing; lose $264 → trim mid-term exposure.
Rhythm Analysis
Short-Term — Trend: merge/form | Rhythm: develop/form | Flow: expand/hold → pre-launch warmup.
Swing — Trend: merge/form | Rhythm: down/turn | Flow: expand/hold → digestion favors later extension.
Mid-Term — Trend: merge/form | Rhythm: down/turn | Flow: expand/hold → defend Mac Points, then rotate to development.
Financial Flow
Auto margins remain pressured, but Energy Storage (ESS) growth is the portfolio buffer.
Cash deployment concentrates on autonomy/compute, the charging network, and manufacturing efficiency; margin repair hinges on pricing/mix and energy mix-up over the mid term.
News / Risk / Event
• Product/Platform: RoboTaxi & FSD roadmap checkpoints; broader Supercharger (NACS) access for other OEMs and monetization progress.
• Index/Macro: Expect volatility around Nasdaq event weeks—watch the classic “breakout then basing” behavior.
• Risks: Price competition → margin squeeze, autonomy regulation/safety headlines, AI/compute procurement shifts, macro demand softness.
Strategy Scenario
Short-Term
– Entry: First breakout → pullback or $305 spike-down then intraday reclaim
– Exit: $372 1st / $382–$395 2nd partials
– Conditions: volume turn + rhythm top-side flare + supportive product/index news
Swing
– Entry: $305 confirmed hold with higher-low; if lost, reassess near $295–$298
– Target: $412
– Risk: Two daily closes < $305 → reset the swing plan
Mid-Term
– Entry: $264 core; re-add on $305 re-take
– Target: $412 hold → continuation (ladder exits on new channel highs)
– Risk Mgmt: Close < $264 → reduce; re-add on reclaim
Elliott Wave Analysis
Short-Term: Setting up a Wave-3 push—look for the breakout-pullback ignition.
Swing: Wave-4 digestion → early Wave-5 if a higher low near $305 forms.
Mid-Term: Wave-2 merge/form, staging the next Wave-3 once basing completes.
Community Flow
• Investors split between “Energy + Supercharger monetization” vs “auto margin overhang.”
• Traders: “Buy $305 holds” camps vs “fade mid-$350s” tacticians—expect chop near resistance.
Outlook & Risk Summary
If $305 holds and a breakout then base pattern sticks, the $372 → $412 roadmap is on the table.
Keep position sizing disciplined around $305 / $264 Mac Points to respect margin, regulation, and macro risk.
Deep Report
• Stats on the “breakout-then-pullback” edge (win rate & payoff)
• Valuation weights for FSD/RoboTaxi, Supercharger, ESS
• Auto margin sensitivity (price, cost, mix) vs. Energy margin uplift
• Event calendar (index & product) with position rebalancing rules
Brand Notice
This report applies the VPAR rhythm methodology, combining chart rhythms with funds-flow patterns to surface optimal entries. All investment decisions are solely the investor’s responsibility.
Tesla #TSLA #RoboTaxi #FSD #Supercharger #EnergyStorage #VPAR #RhythmTrading #SwingStrategy #BreakoutSetup #BoxRange #FlowExpansion #RiskManagement #ChartAnalysis #TradingPlan
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