#Snowflake #SNOW #CloudData #AIStocks #RHYTHMIXReport
#BreakoutAnalysis #MomentumStocks #TechStocks #EarningsSurprise
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VPAR Chart Explanation This is Snowflake (SNOW.NYS), as requested for analysis. The circled areas in the past and present are potential short-term trend turning points; consolidation coupled with an upward trend represents a trading entry point. Each chart has its own wave pattern/trend. Currently, it is showing demand within the short-term trend and has broken through the medium-term resistance/supply level. Consider trading based on the short-term (daily wave) trend, and if it breaks below, consider it a potential buying point starting from around 186.
💡 Investment Opinion
Snowflake has surprised the market with strong Q1 performance and a raised full-year outlook.
This latest surge over $200 signals a technical rhythm breakout and a fundamental validation of its renewed AI-driven cloud strategy.
2-week expected return: +6.5% → $217.50 (Probability: 68%)
2-month expected return: +15.2% → $235.00 (Probability: 61%)
2-year potential target: +37.9% → $281.00 (Probability: 48%) → Fibonacci extension (1.618 level)
1. 📌 Summary
Following a better-than-expected earnings report, Snowflake’s price surged ~10% and re-entered the $200+ psychological zone.
This is the first time in 15 months that the stock is showing a clear rhythm reacceleration pattern.
MACD, volume, and Bollinger band widening all support this being more than just a post-earnings spike.
2. 📈 RHYTHMIX Rhythm Analysis
🔹 Monthly Rhythm
- Mid-term bottoming structure is completed
- First full-bodied bullish candle reclaiming Bollinger midband
- Rhythm shift from compression to expansion
🔹 Weekly Rhythm
- Key resistance at $193 has flipped into support
- Bollinger dotted lines breaking upward with increasing slope
- MACD is positive and diverging upward = momentum confirmation
🔹 Daily Rhythm
- Short and mid-term moving averages merged & realigned
- Breakout from consolidation channel ($188–$202) completed
- RSI in bullish zone, MACD crossing confirms a new upward cycle
- Fibonacci extension targets lie ahead in the $230–$280 zone
📌 Core Point ($193.0): Key pivot and breakout base
📌 Dotted Resistance ($217–$222): Primary rhythm barrier; break confirms extended momentum
📌 Trap Potential: Minor pullbacks near $200 are expected—but rhythm holds above $193
3. 📊 Financial Overview
- Market Cap: $67.1B
- Q1 Revenue: $1.04B (+26% YoY)
- Adjusted EPS: $0.24 (Beat estimate of $0.21)
- GAAP Net Loss: $430M (Increased YoY)
- Full-Year Product Revenue Guidance: Raised to $4.325B
4. ⚠️ News & Risks
- Snowflake announced stronger partnerships in AI via OpenAI and Anthropic integrations
- Institutional target prices average at $218.17
- Risks include high valuation, GAAP net loss, and potential rate-related tech corrections
- Short-term overbought signals may cause temporary volatility
5. 🧠 Strategy Scenario (When, Why, How Much)
🎯 Entry Zone
$197.00 ~ $204.50 (Probability: 68%)
→ Recent breakout consolidation zone
→ RSI neutral-bullish, low-risk re-entry near $200
🎯 Targets
- 1st Target: $217.50 (Probability: 68%)
- 2nd Target: $235.00 (Probability: 61%)
- Long-Term Target: $281.00 (Probability: 48%) → Fibonacci extension (1.618 level)
🛡️ Stop-Loss / Response
$192.00 (Probability: 73%)
→ Break below key support would invalidate the bullish rhythm structure
6. 🌈 Outlook
Snowflake has re-emerged as a momentum tech stock with real earnings fuel.
If the current rhythm holds above $200 and volume persists,
we expect the next wave of institutional inflows to push the stock toward the $230–280 expansion zone.
“Price reflects belief.
But rhythm proves conviction.”
7. 🧩 Member-Only Deep Dive
📌 Institutional Flow
- BlackRock, T. Rowe Price increased their exposure post-Q1
- AI-related ETF funds showing net inflows toward SNOW
📌 Short Interest
- Currently at ~3.8%, low but could trigger minor squeeze
- Volatility risk moderate due to high institutional control
📌 Sentiment & Trend Data
- Google Trends: “Snowflake AI” up +290% in the last 30 days
- Analyst upgrades from JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs post-earnings