[As of 2025/06/10~11 Closing โ Strategy Scenario Update]
๐ฏ Entry (2~3 Tiered Entry Strategy)
Short-term demand zone (near box centerline):
โ Around $27.00 ~ $27.50 โ Valid for first entry
โ Currently closed around $27.65 โ entering box centerline retest zone
Swing demand zone (swing trendline + center convergence zone):
โ Around $26.20 ~ $26.80 โ Second entry zone
โ Matches lower convergence of monthly/weekly swing trendline (BW 0.5 / 1 merge zone)
Mid-term demand zone (response if breaking below mid-box center):
โ Around $25.50 ~ $25.80 โ Consider third entry (positioning for deeper pullback)
๐ฏ Targets (with probabilities %)
2-week Target:
โ Around $30.50 โ Attempt to reclaim upper box level / 65% probability
2-month Target:
โ Around $34.85 โ Scenario for retesting mid-term box top / 70% probability
2-year Long-term Target:
โ Around $62.00 โ Long-term target in case of extended rhythm expansion across monthly/annual trend / 75% probability
๐ซ Stop-Loss / Position Adjustment Strategy
If short-term demand zone $27.00 breaks below:
โ Reduce short-term position or partially exit first entry
If swing demand zone $26.20 breaks below:
โ Reduce swing position or exit swing entry
If mid-term demand zone $25.50 breaks below:
โ Fully exit mid-term position
๐ Summary:
Currently retesting box centerline โ First entry remains valid
Additional positioning possible at $26.80 / $25.50 zones upon further pullback
Annual/monthly rhythm suggests potential for continued expansion during 2025 โ $62.00 long-term target remains valid.
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RocketLab #RKLB #DroneStocks #UAS #AerospaceDefense #USStocks #BreakoutStocks #MilitaryTech #SpaceStocks #AI #DefenseETF #USDefenseStocks #DronePolicy #RocketLabAnalysis
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2๏ธโฃ Summary
โ What breakout/ breakdown triggers should we watch for in this rhythm analysis? Letโs check below.
RKLB recently surged on UAS & Drone Policy momentum and is currently consolidating after a strong breakout.
Chart analysis:
- 120-min: Strong bullish wave โ upper box trap โ volume declining โ re-acceleration possible
- Daily: Multiple bullish candles โ testing box center support
- Weekly: Breakout above box top โ consolidating โ mid-term bullish intact
- Monthly: Breakout from mid-box โ entering large bullish wave
โ Mid-term bullish rhythm intact, with potential for re-acceleration post consolidation.
1๏ธโฃ Investment Opinion
๐ Short-term: Consolidating inside box โ buy-the-dip opportunities valid
๐ Mid-term: Bullish rhythm intact โ re-acceleration potential remains
๐ Policy trigger (Drone Executive Order) + Defense sector momentum supportive
โ Performance Expectation
- 2-week target: +5.5% โ $30.80 (Probability 60%)
- 2-month target: +19.3% โ $34.85 (Probability 68%)
- 2-year long-term target: +112.4% โ $62.00 (Probability 78%)
VPAR Chart Explanation This is Rocket Lab (RKLB), as requested for analysis. The circled areas in the past and present are potential short-term trend (yellow) consolidation and upward trend points. These points have a higher probability and potential return when they are near the swing line (white) or medium-term line (orange). Each chart has its own wave trend and tension. Currently, after finding support at the medium-term resistance/supply level in March-April, it is showing the flow of the medium-term trend (monthly wave) again and is being considered as a potential point for a short-term or swing trend. For specific entry points, please refer to the strategy scenario and report.
3๏ธโฃ VPAR Rhythm Analysis
Monthly
- Rhythm: Breakout from mid-box โ large bullish wave ongoing
- Bands: Above dotted top โ no overbought signals
- MACD: Upward divergence maintained
Weekly
- Rhythm: Breakout above box top โ consolidating โ mid-term bullish intact
- Bands: Testing support after breakout
- RSI: Normalizing after overbought
Daily
- Rhythm: Multiple bullish candles โ testing box center support
- Bands: Testing box center โ potential for breakout continuation
- MACD: Maintaining upward divergence
120-min
- Rhythm: Strong bullish wave โ upper trap โ declining volume โ potential re-acceleration
- Volume: Decreasing โ possible re-entry zone
- Trap: Upper trap โ monitoring for breakout recovery
4๏ธโฃ Financials
- Q1 2025 revenue: $123M โ YoY +32%
- Net loss: $26.2M โ narrowing
- Backlog: $603M โ all-time high
- Cash: $216M โ very strong liquidity
5๏ธโฃ News & Risk Summary
News
- Drone Executive Order โ strong policy momentum
- Defense & military contract expansion driving backlog growth
- Continued growth in space launch services
Risks
- Post-surge price pressure
- Drone/Defense policy uncertainty could slow momentum
- Defense budget volatility risk
6๏ธโฃ Strategy Scenario
๐ฏ Entry
- Buy in the $28.80 ~ $29.20 range
๐ฏ Targets
- 1st target: $30.80 (Probability 60%)
- 2nd target: $34.85 (Probability 68%)
- 3rd target (Long-term): $62.00 (Probability 78%)
๐ซ Stop-Loss
- Below $27.80 โ trim half
- Below $25.50 โ full exit
7๏ธโฃ Outlook
Mid-term bullish rhythm remains valid, supported by Drone Policy and Defense sector momentum.
Currently consolidating inside box โ potential re-acceleration if key supports hold.
โ “Policy trigger continuity will be key for sustaining the bullish rhythm.”
8๏ธโฃ Deep Report
- Institutional flow: Increasing institutional buying
- Short interest: ~3.2% โ below average
- Social trends: Keywords like “Drone Executive Order,” “Defense sector gains,” “Backlog expansion,” “Aerospace growth” trending
โ Summary
RKLB is currently in a bullish rhythm consolidation phase,
supported by strong policy momentum and Defense sector tailwinds.
Buy-the-dip strategy remains valid โ watch for re-acceleration signals.