Rocket Lab (RKLB) β€” Will Drone Policy Momentum Sustain the Bullish Rhythm?

[As of 2025/06/10~11 Closing β€” Strategy Scenario Update]

🎯 Entry (2~3 Tiered Entry Strategy)

Short-term demand zone (near box centerline):
β†’ Around $27.00 ~ $27.50 β†’ Valid for first entry
β†’ Currently closed around $27.65 β†’ entering box centerline retest zone

Swing demand zone (swing trendline + center convergence zone):
β†’ Around $26.20 ~ $26.80 β†’ Second entry zone
β†’ Matches lower convergence of monthly/weekly swing trendline (BW 0.5 / 1 merge zone)

Mid-term demand zone (response if breaking below mid-box center):
β†’ Around $25.50 ~ $25.80 β†’ Consider third entry (positioning for deeper pullback)

🎯 Targets (with probabilities %)

2-week Target:
β†’ Around $30.50 β†’ Attempt to reclaim upper box level / 65% probability

2-month Target:
β†’ Around $34.85 β†’ Scenario for retesting mid-term box top / 70% probability

2-year Long-term Target:
β†’ Around $62.00 β†’ Long-term target in case of extended rhythm expansion across monthly/annual trend / 75% probability

🚫 Stop-Loss / Position Adjustment Strategy

If short-term demand zone $27.00 breaks below:
β†’ Reduce short-term position or partially exit first entry

If swing demand zone $26.20 breaks below:
β†’ Reduce swing position or exit swing entry

If mid-term demand zone $25.50 breaks below:
β†’ Fully exit mid-term position

πŸ‘‰ Summary:
Currently retesting box centerline β†’ First entry remains valid
Additional positioning possible at $26.80 / $25.50 zones upon further pullback
Annual/monthly rhythm suggests potential for continued expansion during 2025 β†’ $62.00 long-term target remains valid.

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RocketLab #RKLB #DroneStocks #UAS #AerospaceDefense #USStocks #BreakoutStocks #MilitaryTech #SpaceStocks #AI #DefenseETF #USDefenseStocks #DronePolicy #RocketLabAnalysis

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ChatGPT Image 2025λ…„ 6μ›” 10일 μ˜€ν›„ 02 07 36

2️⃣ Summary

βœ… What breakout/ breakdown triggers should we watch for in this rhythm analysis? Let’s check below.

RKLB recently surged on UAS & Drone Policy momentum and is currently consolidating after a strong breakout.
Chart analysis:

  • 120-min: Strong bullish wave β†’ upper box trap β†’ volume declining β†’ re-acceleration possible
  • Daily: Multiple bullish candles β†’ testing box center support
  • Weekly: Breakout above box top β†’ consolidating β†’ mid-term bullish intact
  • Monthly: Breakout from mid-box β†’ entering large bullish wave

β†’ Mid-term bullish rhythm intact, with potential for re-acceleration post consolidation.

1️⃣ Investment Opinion

πŸ“Œ Short-term: Consolidating inside box β†’ buy-the-dip opportunities valid
πŸ“Œ Mid-term: Bullish rhythm intact β†’ re-acceleration potential remains
πŸ“Œ Policy trigger (Drone Executive Order) + Defense sector momentum supportive

β†’ Performance Expectation

  • 2-week target: +5.5% β†’ $30.80 (Probability 60%)
  • 2-month target: +19.3% β†’ $34.85 (Probability 68%)
  • 2-year long-term target: +112.4% β†’ $62.00 (Probability 78%)

λ‘œμΌ“ 랩

VPAR Chart Explanation This is Rocket Lab (RKLB), as requested for analysis. The circled areas in the past and present are potential short-term trend (yellow) consolidation and upward trend points. These points have a higher probability and potential return when they are near the swing line (white) or medium-term line (orange). Each chart has its own wave trend and tension. Currently, after finding support at the medium-term resistance/supply level in March-April, it is showing the flow of the medium-term trend (monthly wave) again and is being considered as a potential point for a short-term or swing trend. For specific entry points, please refer to the strategy scenario and report.

3️⃣ VPAR Rhythm Analysis

Monthly

  • Rhythm: Breakout from mid-box β†’ large bullish wave ongoing
  • Bands: Above dotted top β†’ no overbought signals
  • MACD: Upward divergence maintained

Weekly

  • Rhythm: Breakout above box top β†’ consolidating β†’ mid-term bullish intact
  • Bands: Testing support after breakout
  • RSI: Normalizing after overbought

Daily

  • Rhythm: Multiple bullish candles β†’ testing box center support
  • Bands: Testing box center β†’ potential for breakout continuation
  • MACD: Maintaining upward divergence

120-min

  • Rhythm: Strong bullish wave β†’ upper trap β†’ declining volume β†’ potential re-acceleration
  • Volume: Decreasing β†’ possible re-entry zone
  • Trap: Upper trap β†’ monitoring for breakout recovery

4️⃣ Financials

  • Q1 2025 revenue: $123M β†’ YoY +32%
  • Net loss: $26.2M β†’ narrowing
  • Backlog: $603M β†’ all-time high
  • Cash: $216M β†’ very strong liquidity

5️⃣ News & Risk Summary

News

  • Drone Executive Order β†’ strong policy momentum
  • Defense & military contract expansion driving backlog growth
  • Continued growth in space launch services

Risks

  • Post-surge price pressure
  • Drone/Defense policy uncertainty could slow momentum
  • Defense budget volatility risk

6️⃣ Strategy Scenario

🎯 Entry

  • Buy in the $28.80 ~ $29.20 range

🎯 Targets

  • 1st target: $30.80 (Probability 60%)
  • 2nd target: $34.85 (Probability 68%)
  • 3rd target (Long-term): $62.00 (Probability 78%)

🚫 Stop-Loss

  • Below $27.80 β†’ trim half
  • Below $25.50 β†’ full exit

7️⃣ Outlook

Mid-term bullish rhythm remains valid, supported by Drone Policy and Defense sector momentum.
Currently consolidating inside box β†’ potential re-acceleration if key supports hold.

β†’ “Policy trigger continuity will be key for sustaining the bullish rhythm.”

8️⃣ Deep Report

  • Institutional flow: Increasing institutional buying
  • Short interest: ~3.2% β†’ below average
  • Social trends: Keywords like “Drone Executive Order,” “Defense sector gains,” “Backlog expansion,” “Aerospace growth” trending

βœ… Summary

RKLB is currently in a bullish rhythm consolidation phase,
supported by strong policy momentum and Defense sector tailwinds.
Buy-the-dip strategy remains valid β†’ watch for re-acceleration signals.

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