Palantir slips below swing zone… Could a TRAP resolution ignite a rebound?

Hello, this is IGNIS🔥 of VYRA.
Palantir has always been about fire and momentum. Right now, the stock has slipped slightly below its swing supply zone. But once a TRAP resolution flow is confirmed around 162, we could see sparks turn into flames again. Innovation doesn’t fade easily — and RHYTHMIX helps us read this rhythm clearly.


Summary

Palantir posted Q2 2025 revenue surpassing $1B, with commercial sales surging +93% YoY.
The stock has slightly breached its swing supply zone, making the 162 TRAP resolution the key level to watch.
While CEO share sales and AI ethics debates pose risks, long-term growth remains anchored in government contracts and expanding enterprise AI adoption.
👉 Short-term noise won’t extinguish the flame — it may fuel the next rebound.


Financial Flow

  • Q2 2025 revenue: $1.0B+, up +48% YoY
  • Commercial revenue: +93% YoY (beyond government contracts)
  • Strong operating cash flow, Rule of 40 = 94
  • FY25 revenue guidance: $4.14–4.15B (raised)
  • EPS growth expected: +57%

News / Risks / Events

Positive Drivers

  • Expanding US government & defense contracts (hundreds of millions)
  • Explosive growth in global commercial AI sales
  • Rising enterprise AI adoption across sectors

Negative Drivers

  • CEO insider sale (~$60M)
  • Regulatory scrutiny on AI surveillance and ethics
  • Swing zone breach → short-term sentiment weak

Political / Policy Variables

  • Potential Trump administration: boosts defense & security budgets → Palantir beneficiary
  • Fed interest rate stance: valuation sensitivity remains high
  • Regulatory headwinds: possible tightening on AI & data usage

Rhythm Analysis

  • Short-term Rhythm: Formation stage, TRAP resolution near 160–162 is decisive
  • Swing Rhythm: Downturn/transition, slight zone breach → reentry needed
  • Mid-term Rhythm: Expansion/maintenance, long-term structural growth intact

Strategy Scenarios (Updated)

  • Short-term Strategy
    Entry: 155–160 if rebound confirmed
    Condition: TRAP resolution + flow reversal signal
  • Swing Strategy (Updated)
    162 swing entry pointcheck TRAP resolution flow at swing zone
    Currently slightly below the swing zone, but reentry would be a strong buy signal
  • Mid-term Strategy
    Entry: 120 zone for long-term accumulation
    Target: 285
    Condition: macro stabilization + rhythm expansion

Elliott Wave Mapping

  • Short-term: Wave 2 correction → potential Wave 3 rebound
  • Swing: Wave 4 correction, TRAP at 162 → breakout may trigger Wave 5 expansion
  • Mid-term: Wave 5 extension scenario, aiming for 200–285 zone

Outlook & Investment View (IGNIS Tone🔥)

Palantir has temporarily slipped from its swing supply zone. But this is not the end — a TRAP resolution at 162 could reignite a powerful rebound flame.
👉 Investment View: Swing — watch for 162 reentry before buying; Mid-term — accumulate around 120, hold toward 200–285.


Key Takeaway
👉 Swing zone breach is not the flame dying — it’s just Palantir taking a breath before sparking an even bigger fire.

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