Deep State Exposed: Profiting from Crises—Truth or Conspiracy?

In this video, I deliver a talk-show–style commentary, and you can read the full report on my blog.

Question

From secret meetings on Jekyll Island to today’s pandemic-fuelled bubble, has a hidden “Deep State” truly engineered every financial crisis for profit?

Short Summary

The claim that a cabal of bankers orchestrated the Fed, the Great Depression, and the COVID bubble to amass wealth demands careful examination of historical context and documentary evidence.

Evidence Presentation

A. Background Situation

  1. Historical Context
    – November 1910: Leading Wall Street figures reportedly met in secret on Jekyll Island to design what became the Federal Reserve.
  2. Key Data
    – When established in 1913, all 12 regional Fed banks were privately owned by commercial banks, profiting from expanding money supply.
  3. Interim Summary
    – “The Fed’s origins lie more in private banker interests than in public governance, according to conspiracy claims.”

B. Expert Analysis

  1. Scholarly Debate
    – “Currency Wars” author Song Hongbing argues the Fed was created by Rockefeller, Rothschild, and Morgan dynasties as a private system.
  2. Empirical Evidence
    – Fed’s rapid rate hikes in 1928–29 are documented to have triggered credit crunch and a stock-market collapse of nearly 90%.
  3. Interim Summary
    – “Scholars question whether policy decisions leading to the Depression were truly unintentional.”

C. Contrasting Examples

  1. Cross-Cultural Parallel
    – Ancient Rome’s debasement of coinage led to loss of public trust and secret profiteering by elites.
  2. Modern Case
    – 2008–2016 JP Morgan spoofing scandals: Thousands of fake orders manipulated gold and bond markets, culminating in a $1.2 B fine in 2020.
  3. Interim Summary
    – “Then and now, powerful financial actors have used covert tactics to skew markets in their favor.”

Comprehensive Evidence Summary

Historical plotting, documented market-manipulation cases, and scholarly claims form a coherent narrative—but lack definitive official proof, leaving the Deep State theory in the realm of plausible yet unverified conspiracy.

Human Touch & Storytelling

Investor A’s Experience

“In 2008, rumors of bank spoofing sent me into panic selling—I lost more to fear than to the market crash.”

Mental Care

“If you’re overwhelmed by crisis narratives, start small, define clear stop-losses, and focus on what you can control—your peace of mind is your most valuable asset.”

Community Interaction

Today’s Witty Comments
• “If the Deep State is so powerful, why haven’t they left me a bailout check?”
• “Jekyll Island plot or financial fairy tale? My wallet hasn’t received the memo.”

Doctrine · History · Cultural Analogy

Revelation 13’s “mark of the beast” warns of commerce control. Could modern digital IDs and central-bank digital currencies become the new “mark”?

Closing & Call-to-Action

Evil grows not from thin air but from our unchecked fears and blind trust.
Is the Deep State myth or reality? The verdict is yours to decide.
What will be the next sign? Join the debate in the comments!

Coinbase (COIN): Bitcoin Breakdown Tests Mid-Term Supply Zone—Is This the Next Swing Entry?

Hello, I’m top trader JinLog.
In this video I deliver a talk-show–style commentary, and you can read the full write-up on my blog.
Reacting to every piece of news and overtrading will eat away at both your capital and your time.
The VPAR rhythm trading method captures the timing of the overall market flow, then focuses only on key news and events at major support levels (“Mac Points”).
By blending sector and stock analysis with live index monitoring during broadcasts, you can manage risk while aiming for higher returns.

Summary
Coinbase is testing mid-term supply around $283 after Bitcoin broke below its short-term trendline and staged a swing support test at its trendline supply. Currently trading at $314.69, Coinbase’s short- and swing-entry points require trap-resolution confirmation before entry, while a mid-term entry zone sits at $283 .
The company increased its Bitcoin holdings by 2,509 BTC to a total of 11,776 BTC (approx. $740 M) and announced a strategic partnership with JPMorgan to enable USDC conversion and purchases via Chase credit cards, strengthening its long-term growth drivers .

Investment Opinion
Short-Term: Await confirmation of trap resolution and rhythm reversal signals before considering a tactical entry.
Swing: Upon validation of support near $283, initiate positions targeting a rebound toward $360.
Mid-Term: Accumulate in tranches at $283, leveraging the JPMorgan partnership and upcoming Everything Exchange launch for sustained upside.

Chart Explanation
Current price: $314.69, down from recent highs as mid-term supply at $283 is tested.
Short-term entry at current levels is inadvisable until trap resolution; swing entries require a clear test of $283 support.
Mac Points: Swing Mac Point at $268; mid-term Mac Point at $226—box-range bottom provides ideal tranche-buy zones.

Rhythm Analysis
Short-Term: Trend has broken and transitioned; rhythm shows bearish reversal; funds-flow weakening/transitioning.
Swing: Trend breakdown confirmed; rhythm continues downward/transition path; funds-flow weakening persists.
Mid-Term: Trend remains intact and upward; rhythm forming/developing; funds-flow showing signs of weakening.

Financial Flow
Q2 revenue fell 16.7% due to lower transaction volumes, but adjusted EPS of $5.14 and operating cash flow of $942 M underpin resilience, backed by cash reserves of $4.7 B .
Bitcoin balance sheet strength is bolstered by 11,776 BTC holdings (~$740 M) following a 2,509 BTC increase year-over-year.

News / Risk / Event
JPMorgan partnership to enable Chase credit-card rewards conversion to USDC and direct crypto purchases launches this fall .
Everything Exchange “all-in-one” app previewed—supporting on-chain trading of tokenized stocks and derivatives to strengthen platform moat .
Volume contraction amid the “crypto super-app wars” continues to pressure transaction revenues .
Regulatory tailwinds from the US GENIUS and Clarity Acts set a formal framework for USDC issuance and distribution .
SEC application for security-token approval underway—approval would enable on-chain equity trading .

Strategy Scenario
Short-Term: Implement split-sell near resistance once trap resolution and rhythm reversal are confirmed; then monitor market breadth signals for re-entry cues.
Swing: Enter near $283 support and scale out partial profits near $360.
Mid-Term: Build positions in stages at $283 level, riding the JPMorgan and Everything Exchange catalysts for sustained growth.

Elliott Wave Analysis
Short-Term Wave: Currently in Wave 2 corrective phase, with traps unresolved and bearish rhythm dominance.
Swing Wave: Entering Wave 3 impulse stage, suggesting a return of upward momentum.
Mid-Term Wave: Wave 3 formation underway, likely compounded by new service rollouts and partnership momentum.

Community Flow
On Reddit r/Coinbase, the JPMorgan tie-up has sparked bullish chatter, with members pinpointing $283 as the next entry zone.
On Twitter, #Coinbase discussions mix excitement over Everything Exchange with caution over volume trends.

Outlook & Risk Summary
Bitcoin price recovery remains the primary driver for Coinbase’s next leg up.
JPMorgan partnership and Everything Exchange launch support a rebound, but volume recovery delays and regulatory uncertainties could trigger further pullbacks.

Deep Report
• In-depth analysis of JPMorgan partnership and USDC business expansion
• Everything Exchange platform roadmap and competitive positioning
• Volume-recovery scenarios and revenue outlook
• SEC security-token approval process and regulatory risk assessment

Brand Notice
This report is produced using the VPAR rhythm-analysis methodology, which marries chart rhythms with funds-flow patterns to pinpoint optimal trading opportunities. All investment decisions are the sole responsibility of the investor.

Roblox (RBLX): Q2 Earnings Surge Into Pullback—Is Now the Time to Rotate Into Gaming & Entertainment?

Hello, I’m top trader JinLog.
In this video I deliver a talk-show–style commentary, and you can read the full write-up on my blog.
Reacting to every piece of news and overtrading will eat away at both your capital and your time.
The VPAR rhythm trading method captures the timing of the overall market flow, then focuses only on key news and events at major support levels (“Mac Points”).
By blending sector and stock analysis with live index monitoring during broadcasts, you can manage risk while aiming for higher returns.

Summary
Roblox delivered Q2 FY2025 bookings of $5.1 billion (+51%), daily active users of 111.8 million (+41%), and hours engaged of 27.4 billion (+58%), exceeding analyst expectations.
Year-to-date, the stock has rallied 116%, and over the past 12 months it’s up 222%, propelled to a record high of $137.79 on the earnings beat.
Since touching the short-term target of $150, index-wide profit-taking has driven a pullback to $125.40.
Reasons to build a long-term allocation in gaming and entertainment will be explored in our upcoming “Truth vs. False” content.

Investment Opinion
Short-Term: Take profits after the $150 target and watch for support retests before considering re-entry.
Swing: Look to buy at $112 or $100, targeting a rebound toward $140.
Mid-Term: Accumulate in tranches around $88, leveraging Roblox’s metaverse growth story and AI content-creation tools.

Chart Explanation
Current price: $125.40 after a post-earnings pullback.
Short-term entry at $125 is risky due to potential further downside; swing entries at $112 and $100; mid-term entry at $88.
Swing Mac Point: $87; mid-term Mac Point: $54. Box-range bottom provides optimal tranche-buy opportunities.

Rhythm Analysis
Short-Term: Trend in decline/correction; rhythm weakening/correcting; funds‐flow weakening/transitioning.
Swing: Trend accelerating/maintained; rhythm weakening/correcting; funds‐flow initiating/formation.
Mid-Term: Trend accelerating/maintained; rhythm weakening/correcting; funds‐flow weakening/transitioning.

Financial Flow
GAAP net loss of $1.1 billion and non-GAAP net loss of $194 million are offset by operating cash flow of $942 million and cash reserves of $4.74 billion, underlining solid financial health.
Bookings per DAU rose to $12.86 (+7%), with 23.4 million monthly paying users and average bookings per monthly paying user of $20.48.
Annual bookings guidance was raised from $5.29–5.36 billion to $5.87–5.97 billion, implying 36% growth.

News / Risk / Event
ARK Invest boosted its Roblox weighting to 7.39%, reinforcing strong institutional demand.
The launch of ‘Cube 3D’ AI tools and Mesh Generation API has accelerated creator-driven 3D content production.
Open-source ‘Cube’ expansion reported by TechCrunch broadens the developer ecosystem and enhances platform competitiveness.
Premium titles like ‘Grow a Garden’ and ‘99 Nights in the Forest’ continue to drive user engagement quarter after quarter.
Our upcoming “Truth vs. False” segment will dive deeper into why gaming and entertainment deserve long-term portfolio allocations.

Strategy Scenario
Short-Term: Implement split-sell strategies after the $150 peak, then monitor market breadth and rhythm signals for re-entry cues.
Swing: Enter at $112 or $100 support levels and realize partial gains near $140.
Mid-Term: Build positions at $88 in stages, capitalizing on Roblox’s metaverse expansion and AI tool adoption.

Elliott Wave Analysis
Short-Term Wave: Currently in a Wave 4 corrective phase, with traps unresolved and rhythm weakening.
Swing Wave: Transitioning into Wave 3, suggesting a potential resumption of upward momentum.
Mid-Term Wave: Early Wave 3 formation is underway, likely strengthened by new game releases and AI‐based content tools.

Community Flow
On the Roblox Developer Forum and Reddit r/RobloxDev, creators are buzzing about the new Cube tools and expanded opportunities.
On WallStreetBets, sentiment remains bullish with “buy the dip” calls outpacing profit-taking concerns, underscoring the need for short-term volatility management.

Outlook & Risk Summary
Roblox’s leadership in the metaverse and gaming rally should support further growth.
However, index corrections, potential underperformance of new titles, and delays in AI tool uptake could trigger additional pullbacks.

Deep Report
• In-depth analysis of the Cube AI tool ecosystem and 3D content competitiveness
• Detailed review of user growth metrics and monetization trends
• Strategic evaluation of the metaverse platform roadmap and content pipeline
• Preview of “Truth vs. False”: rigorous case for long-term gaming & entertainment allocations

Brand Notice
This report is produced using the VPAR rhythm-analysis methodology, which marries chart rhythms with funds-flow patterns to pinpoint optimal trading opportunities. All investment decisions are the sole responsibility of the investor.

Roblox #RBLX #Metaverse #GamingStocks #EntertainmentStocks #RhythmFlow #AlgorithmTrend #VPAR #AIContent #Cube3D #ARKInvest #ProfitTaking #EarningsPullback #MetaverseGrowth #RiskManagement

Is ‘King of Kings’ an Innocent Animation—or a Covert Imprint on Your Subconscious?

In this video, we present commentary in a talk-show format, and you can view the full report on our blog.

3) Hook Question

“Could this family-friendly blockbuster actually be implanting a radical gospel in your mind through subtle symbolic cues?”

4) Short Summary (Open-ended Hint)

The notion that King of Kings clandestinely spreads Unitarian doctrine via imprinting seems overstated—but its recurrent symbolism may still spark subconscious curiosity in viewers.

5) Evidence Presentation

A. Background Context

  1. Historical Origin
    – Charles Dickens (1812–1870) wrote The Life of Our Lord exclusively for his children and expressly forbade its publication; it finally appeared posthumously in 1934 as a personal reflection on Jesus’s life.
  2. Box-Office Phenomenon
    – King of Kings topped North American box office charts as the highest-grossing Korean film, then dethroned F1: The Movie in Korea upon release. Its success directly coincided with a sudden surge in new editions of Dickens’s once-private Gospel narrative.
  3. Interim Summary
    The film’s runaway success and the near-simultaneous reissue of Dickens’s text suggest a powerful cultural convergence driving public interest.

B. Expert Analysis

  1. Subliminal Messaging Research
    – James Vicary’s 1957 “Drink Coca-Cola, Eat Popcorn” experiment has never been reliably replicated; modern cognitive psychology finds only fleeting, minimal effects from sub-threshold stimuli.
  2. Psychological Evidence
    – While repeated exposure to imagery can heighten familiarity, long-term belief change via subliminal or “imprinting” techniques lacks empirical support in peer-reviewed studies.
  3. Interim Summary
    Current science casts doubt on any sustained, covert mindset manipulation through brief film sequences alone.

C. Comparative Cases

  1. Mythic Parallel
    – In Greek myth, Orpheus’s music enchantingly moved gods and mortals, yet never forced true conversion—symbolic power has limits.
  2. Modern Immersive Media
    – VR and AR experiences can intensify emotional engagement, but documented cases of lasting worldview shifts remain anecdotal.
  3. Interim Summary
    Immersive or symbolic media can captivate, yet rarely rewrite deeply held beliefs without reinforcing contexts.

Composite Evidence Summary

Although King of Kings leverages potent imagery and coincides with Dickens’s book revival, robust historical and scientific evidence does not substantiate claims of a deliberate, mind-control imprinting scheme.

6) Human Touch & Storytelling

Viewer A’s Experience
A 45-year-old church elder named “John” attended King of Kings with his grandson, only to find himself inexplicably compelled to purchase The Life of Our Lord right after the credits rolled.

John’s Comment: “I went in for an animated adventure, and came out hunting for a 19th-century religious tract. It felt eerily orchestrated.”

Mental Care

Feeling unsettled is normal—your critical mind is doing its job.

  • Advice: Pause and research multiple perspectives before drawing conclusions.
  • Reassurance: “Questioning the message shows you’re awake, not manipulated.”

7) Community Interaction

Today’s Witty Comments

  1. “I watched a cartoon and ended up on Dickens’s reading list—talk about plot twist!”
  2. “Next time, I’ll bring popcorn… and a theology degree.”

8) Doctrine / History / Cultural Analogy

“Just as ancient temple rituals used symbols to focus worshippers’ minds, King of Kings layers sun imagery and torn-script pages—yet like those rituals, the impact depends on each viewer’s prior beliefs, not the symbols alone.”

9) Closing & Call to Action

Evil doesn’t arise by itself; it feeds on our inner doubts and fears—keep your mind from growing dark.
What might be the next cinematic “sign of the times”? Share your thoughts in the comments below!



KingOfKings #CharlesDickens #TheLifeOfOurLord #Unitarianism #ImprintingEffect #SubliminalMessaging #BoxOfficeHit #ReligiousControversy #DifferentGospel #IlluminatiSymbols #FilmAnalysis #MindControlTheory #TruthVsMyth #CinematicCritique #SpiritualGateways

Did Scientists Get It Wrong About Saturated Fat? What 600,000 Lives Reveal

In the video we’ll use a talk-show format; full report available on the blog.

“What if the greatest dietary villain we’ve feared for decades is actually innocent?”

4. Brief Summary
A six-decade-old low-fat dogma, born from selectively interpreted data, is now challenged by a massive 600,000-person analysis—forcing us to rethink everything we know about saturated fat.

5. Evidence Segment

A. Historical Background

  1. Context: In the 1960s, Ancel Keys’s “Seven Countries Study” linked saturated fat to heart disease but omitted key populations.
  2. Data Issue: Critics highlight that countries with high fat intake and low heart disease rates were excluded.
  3. Interim Summary: The low-fat narrative was built on incomplete, cherry-picked evidence.

B. Expert Analysis

  1. Academic Debate: A 2020 JAMA meta-analysis of 600,000 individuals across 18 countries found no clear link between saturated fat and cardiovascular disease.
  2. Scientific Basis: Large-scale cohort and randomized trials fail to show increased mortality or heart risk from higher saturated fat intake.
  3. Interim Summary: Even the largest datasets provide no justification for demonizing saturated fat.

C. Contrasting Cases

  1. Cultural Comparison: Traditional Mediterranean and Ayurvedic diets have long included natural fats with strong health outcomes.
  2. Modern Example: Nations consuming ultra-processed carbohydrates and sugars (e.g., the U.S., U.K.) face skyrocketing chronic disease—suggesting refined carbs, not fat, are the true culprit.
  3. Interim Summary: The real epidemic driver appears to be processed foods and refined carbohydrates rather than natural fats.

Composite Evidence Summary
A, B, and C converge on one conclusion: Natural saturated fats aren’t the enemy—ultra-processed foods and refined carbs are.

6. Human Touch & Storytelling

  • Case Study – “Alex”: After 20 years on a strict low-fat diet, Alex’s blood sugar and cholesterol climbed. When Alex switched to whole foods—including natural fats—and cut processed snacks, health markers improved within three months.
  • Mental Care: Feeling overwhelmed by conflicting advice? You’re not alone. Trust your body, question the consensus, and find the real foods that make you feel your best.

7. Community Interaction
Today’s Witty Comments

  • “Turns out Grandma was right: don’t fear the fat!”
  • “Time to trade my ramen habit for proper steak nights.”
  • “JAMA just dropped the plot twist of the century.”

8. Cultural Analogy
“Like Job enduring trials in ancient texts, we suffered under the low-fat edict—only to discover the real test was our willingness to question authority.”

9. Closing & Call-to-Action
Misinformation thrives in fear; truth grows in curiosity. Will you cultivate real nutrition over dogma?

SaturatedFat #HeartDisease #ChronicIllness #JAMAStudy #NutritionMyths #AncelKeys #DietDebunked #ProcessedFoods #RealFood #HealthTruth #DietScience #FDAReveal #TruthVsFalse #HealthyEating #NutritionRevolution

Stablecoin: Revolution or Trap on the Final Digital Frontier?

“Trump’s Genius Act: Financial Revolution or Prelude to the Mark of the Beast?”

Short Summary (Open-Ending Hint)

Stablecoins promise borderless payment innovation, yet amid dollar hegemony and regulatory power plays, they risk becoming the dreaded ‘mark of the beast.’

Evidence Presentation

A. Existing Situation

  1. Historical Context
    – In July, the U.S. Congress declared “Crypto Week” and passed the GENIUS Act to bring stablecoins under federal oversight.
  2. Key Data
    – Tether (USDT) market cap: ~$160 billion; USDC: ~$64 billion—together representing over 90% of the stablecoin market.
  3. Interim Summary
    – “Pegged to fiat, stablecoins boast scale—but lack central-bank guarantees.”

B. Expert Analysis

  1. Academic Debate
    – The GENIUS Act now recognizes cash and short-term U.S. Treasuries as reserve assets, aiming to prevent another Terra-Luna collapse.
  2. Scientific/Technical Basis
    – Faster, cheaper digital payments are proven—but encryption vulnerabilities and counterparty risks persist.
  3. Interim Summary
    – “Innovation strides ahead, yet stability safeguards remain incomplete.”

C. Contrasting Examples

  1. Cross-Cultural Parallel
    – Ancient Rome’s coinage debasement lesson: without metal backing, trust evaporates.
  2. Modern Case
    – China’s digital yuan experiment excelled in control but failed to win mass adoption.
  3. Interim Summary
    – “Centralized digital currencies secure oversight, while private stablecoins face collateral and trust hurdles.”

Comprehensive Evidence Summary

The GENIUS Act’s regulatory framework, technical benefits, and historical parallels show stablecoins on the cusp of true innovation—or a gateway to pervasive economic control.

Human Touch & Storytelling

Investor A’s Experience

After swapping fiat for a new won-pegged stablecoin, A feared runaway inflation—only to see exchange rates swing wildly when regulatory news hit.
Mental Care
“Feeling wiped out by these swings? Start with a small position, set clear exit points, and pace yourself—your peace of mind matters more than a perfect trade.”

Community Interaction

Today’s Witty Comments
• “Stablecoin revolution? My bank account still feels like a zero-sum game.”
• “Mark of the Beast or mark of convenience? Hard to predict, easier to panic.”
• “Waiting for the ‘swap your soul for a coin’ clause in the next update.”

Doctrine · History · Cultural Analogy

“Revelation 13 describes the beast’s mark as a gatekeeper of commerce—sound familiar when every transaction requires a digital ID?”

Closing & Call-to-Action

Evil doesn’t erupt from thin air—it grows in the cracks of our unchecked trust and desperation.
Is stablecoin the dawn of a freer financial era, or the first step toward digital bondage? The answer lies with you.
What’s the next sign? Join the debate in the comments!

Stablecoin #DigitalCurrency #CryptoRevolution #FinancialInnovation #GeniusAct #CBDC #DigitalDollar #Blockchain #FinTech #CryptoRegulation #GlobalFinance #CryptoPolicy #DigitalEconomy #USD #GlobalCurrency

Robinhood Markets (HOOD): Entering Correction—Split‑Sell & Re‑Entry Strategy Revealed

Hello, I’m top trader JinLog.
In this video, I deliver a talk‑show–style commentary, and you can read the full report on my blog.
Reacting to every piece of news and overtrading erodes both your capital and your time.
The VPAR rhythm trading method captures the timing of overall market flow, then focuses only on key news and events at major support levels (“Mac Points”).
By blending sector and stock analysis with live index monitoring during broadcasts, you can manage risk while pursuing higher returns.

Summary
Robinhood Markets (HOOD.NAS) trades at $106.45 in a $104–107 box range after soaring over 180% year‑to‑date, ranking among the top performers in the Russell 1000 Index .
Since the early‑May swing high, HOOD has entered a correction phase with average quarterly volatility near 9.9%, validating a split‑sell and staged re‑entry approach .
Cryptocurrency business expansion—including the completed Bitstamp acquisition and launch of EU perpetual crypto futures and U.S. staking services—continues to diversify revenue .

Investment Opinion
Short‑term entry is not recommended while the correction endures.
Swing entry at $92 offers a favorable risk/reward, targeting a rebound toward $117.
Mid‑term entry at $60 aligns with unlisted‑stock trading rollout and crypto‑services growth momentum.
Analyst consensus target is $100.50, with bullish outliers up to $125 .

Chart Explanation
Post‑swing‑trend, HOOD trades at $106.45—near the box‑range top.
Short‑term entry is discouraged; swing support lies at $92, mid‑term at $60.
Targets: short‑term $100 reached, swing near $117, mid‑term rhythm not yet measurable; Mac Points at $65 (swing) and $35 (mid‑term).

Rhythm Analysis
Short‑Term: Trend accelerating/maintained; rhythm weakening/correcting; funds‑flow initiating/formation.
Swing: Trend accelerating/maintained; rhythm weakening/correcting; funds‑flow converging/adjusting.
Mid‑Term: Trend accelerating/maintained; rhythm rising/maintaining; funds‑flow initiating/formation.

Financial Flow
Q1 2025 cash & equivalents stand at $4.3 billion, maintaining strong liquidity .
$160 million in buybacks executed in Q1, preserving a net‑debt–free structure .
Bitstamp acquisition closed and new perpetual crypto futures in EU plus U.S. staking service bolstered diversification .

News / Risk / Event
Bitstamp acquisition completed in June, expanding crypto revenue streams .
March 2025 FINRA settlement: $26 million fine and $3.75 million in customer reparations, prompting AML program enhancements .
June 9 S&P 500 inclusion bid failed, causing a 6% plunge before regaining box‑range support .
Board member Harneet Bhatt sold $42.6 million in shares, adding near‑term selling pressure.

Strategy Scenario
Short‑Term: Split‑sell into strength near $106.45, then monitor next‑month market flow and correction intensity for re‑entry cues.
Swing: Enter at $92 support, take partial profits near $117.
Mid‑Term: Accumulate in tranches at $60, leveraging unlisted‑stock service launch and crypto expansion momentum.

Elliott Wave Analysis
Short‑Term Wave: Wave 2 corrective phase persists, with Trap points unresolved.
Swing Wave: Early Wave 3 shows stabilization post‑correction, suggesting rebound potential.
Mid‑Term Wave: Post‑Trap resolution marks Wave 3 initiation, setting stage for a potential major rally next year.

Community Flow
On r/RobinhoodInvesting, discussions focus on unlisted‑stock trading rollout and crypto expansion, with largely bullish sentiment.
On r/RocketStocks, despite the correction, many users advocate “buy the dip,” reflecting strong conviction.

Outlook & Risk Summary
Short‑Term: Split‑sell and await confirmation of correction strength before re‑entry.
Swing: $92 support is pivotal for mid‑term continuation.
Mid‑Term: Crypto and unlisted‑stock services drive growth, but regulatory fines and market volatility may amplify risk.

Deep Report
• Impact analysis of the unlisted‑stock trading service launch and market share projections
• Revenue deep‑dive on crypto business expansion and service mix
• Detailed review of FINRA fines and internal control improvements
• Comparative analysis of broker licenses and wealth management offerings

Brand Notice
This report is produced using the VPAR rhythm‑analysis methodology, which marries chart rhythms with funds‑flow patterns to pinpoint optimal trading opportunities. All investment decisions are the sole responsibility of the investor.

Robinhood #HOOD #SwingTrading #MarketCorrection #VPAR #CryptoExpansion #Bitstamp #AlgorithmTrend #TrapStructure #ElliottWave #RhythmAnalysis #FinTech #StockStrategy #UnlistedStocks #RiskManagement

SPUS: Sharia‑Compliant ETF Breaking Out Alongside NDX & TQQQ?

Hello, I’m top trader JinLog.
In this video I deliver a talk‑show–style commentary, and you can find the full write‑up on my blog.
Reacting to every single news item and overtrading will eat away at both your capital and your time.
The VPAR rhythm trading method captures overall market timing, then zeroes in only on key news and events at major support levels (“Mac Points”).
By blending sector and stock analysis with live index monitoring during broadcasts, you can manage risk while aiming for higher returns.

Summary
SPUS ETF invests in 218 low‑leverage, no‑interest companies within the S&P 500 that comply with Islamic Sharia law.
Since the April 26 algorithm‑trend post, it has held a steady upward box‑range—mirroring NDX and TQQQ—for nearly three months.
After the May 17 post, it maintained its long‑term trend and, following the July 2024 mid‑term breakdown, the Trap 3/3 relief wave suggests a major rally could unfold next year.

Investment Opinion
SPUS has gained 8.25% year‑to‑date, outpacing the S&P 500’s 7.06%, and its one‑year return of 19.06% beats the index.
With a lean expense ratio of 0.45%, it appeals to defensive‑growth investors and long‑term holders alike.

Chart Explanation
Post‑algorithmic‑trend, SPUS traded around $46.42, with short‑term support at $45.90, swing entry at $44.60, and mid‑term entry at $42.80.
Short‑term target: $47. Swing target: $50. Mid‑term target: rhythm not yet measured.
Swing Mac Point: $41.30. Mid‑term Mac Point: $39.70—range trading between these levels is advisable.

Rhythm Analysis
Short‑Term: Trend accelerating and maintained; rhythm rising/maintaining; funds‑flow expanding and stable.
Swing: Trend accelerating/maintained; rhythm weakening/correcting; funds‑flow still expanding.
Mid‑Term: Entering consolidation/formation; rhythm forming; funds‑flow expanding.

Financial Flow
AUM stands at approximately $1.51 billion, making SPUS one of the largest Sharia ETFs, with $688 million net inflows over the past year.
Expense ratio: 0.45%, keeping long‑term holding costs low.
Recent dividend payout: $0.03 per share, demonstrating steady cash flow.

News / Risk / Event
No significant company‑specific news—momentum driven by rising Sharia‑compliant demand and the technology rally.
Ethical ETF excluding finance, tobacco, alcohol, gambling, and defense sectors, serving as a hedge against uncertainty.
Reddit’s r/HalalInvestor community actively debates SPUS’s stability and suitability for halal investing.

Strategy Scenario
Short‑Term: Confirm support at $45.90, then trade the $45.90–47 box range.
Swing: Enter on rebounds at $44.60 targeting $50.
Mid‑Term: If Trap 3/3 relief persists at $42.80, seek major rally entry.

Elliott Wave Analysis
Short‑Term Wave: In Wave 3, with Trap 2/3 relief and rhythm expansion signaling acceleration.
Swing Wave: In Wave 2 corrective phase, but expanding funds‑flow suggests rebound potential.
Mid‑Term Wave: Initiating Wave 3 post‑Trap 3/3 relief, setting up a powerful impulsive trend.

Community Flow
On r/HalalInvestor, 68% of posts in the “Long term reliability of SPUS” thread are bullish, reflecting growing ETF demand.
On Seeking Alpha, SPUS is highlighted as an alternative investment vehicle, often described as “still undervalued.”

Outlook & Risk Summary
SPUS combines ethical finance, strong tech exposure, and low costs for a stable growth profile.
However, tech‑sector concentration and relatively low trading volume may trigger short‑term volatility and liquidity risks.

Deep Report
• Detailed screening criteria and industry exclusion impact analysis
• Growth scenarios based on continued tech rally and AI demand outlook
• In‑depth review of dividend and expense structures
• Comparison with global Sharia ETFs and regulatory risk assessment

Brand Notice
This report is produced using the VPAR rhythm‑analysis methodology, which marries chart rhythms with funds‑flow patterns to pinpoint optimal trading opportunities. All investment decisions are the responsibility of the investor.

SPUS #ShariaETF #S&P500 #AlgorithmTrend #NDX #TQQQ #RhythmTrading #TrapStructure #AI #VPAR

Super Micro Computer (SMCI): How Long Will the AI Server Demand‑Driven Rally Last?

Hello, I’m top trader Jinlog.
In this video I provide a talk‑show–style commentary on the report, and you can read the full write‑up on my blog.
Reacting to every piece of news and overtrading erodes both your capital and your time.
The VPAR rhythm trading method captures the timing of the overall flow, then focuses only on key news and events at major support levels (“Mac Points”).
By combining sector and stock analysis with live index monitoring during broadcasts, you can manage risk while pursuing higher returns.

Summary
Super Micro Computer delivered Q2 FY2025 revenue of $5.6–5.7 billion, up 54% year‑over‑year, and non‑GAAP EPS of $0.58–0.60, beating consensus.
Full‑year revenue guidance was lowered from $26–30 billion to $23.5–25 billion, triggering a 15% one‑day drop on April 30.
Liquidity was bolstered by a $2.3 billion convertible note issuance on June 26 and a $1.79 billion receivables financing facility on July 16.
Trading at $57.37, SMCI remains in its long‑term uptrend, and the post–Trap 3/3 wave recovery following the July 2024 mid‑term breakdown strengthens the case for a major rally next year.

Investment Opinion
The 12‑month consensus target from MarketBeat is $42.89, implying downside from current levels; however, Mizuho raised its target to $47, citing robust AI‑server demand.
Goldman Sachs remains cautious with a ‘Sell’ rating on intensifying competition, while most other institutions maintain ‘Neutral’ to ‘Buy’ recommendations.

Chart Explanation
Since the May 17 algorithmic‐trend post, SMCI has stayed within its long‐term uptrend without significant deviation.
Current price: $57.37. Short‑term support: $55.70. Swing entry: $49.50. Mid‑term entry: transitioning from Trap 2/3 to Trap 3/3.
Short‑term target: $62. Swing target: $77. Mid‑term target: $78.
Swing Mac Point: $41. Mid‑term Mac Point: $53.

Rhythm Analysis
Short‑Term: Trend acceleration/maintenance with rhythm acceleration/maintenance; funds flow expanding and maintained.
Swing: Trend acceleration/maintenance with rhythm acceleration/maintenance, but funds flow showing weakening/transition.
Mid‑Term: Entering trend consolidation/formation; rhythm acceleration/maintenance alongside funds flow expansion/maintenance.

Financial Flow
Convertible notes raised $2.3 billion on June 26 to fund AI infrastructure expansion.
Receivables financing of $1.79 billion on July 16 further strengthened operational liquidity.
Debt‑to‑equity ratio: 0.42. Forward P/E: 22.7×. Financial structure remains healthy.

News / Risk / Event
• April 30 guidance cut drove a 15% one‑day sell‑off amid renewed AI‑demand concerns.
• May 6 Q4 revenue miss triggered an additional 5.4% after‑hours drop.
• March investigation in Singapore flagged potential export‑control risk over NVIDIA chips in Supermicro servers.
• February audit‑control weakness and auditor change added near‑term uncertainty.

Strategy Scenario
Short‑Term: Confirm support at $55.7, then trade the $55.7–$62 box range.
Swing: Enter on a rebound at $49.5 targeting $77.
Mid‑Term: If Trap 3/3 relief persists, seek major rally entry around $78.

Elliott Wave Analysis
Short‑Term Wave: In Wave 3, accompanied by Trap 2/3 relief and rhythm expansion, signaling acceleration.
Swing Wave: Completing Wave 5, now in Wave 2 corrective phase, matching funds‑flow weakening.
Mid‑Term Wave: Beginning Wave 3 post‑Trap 3/3 relief, suggesting a powerful impulsive uptrend.

Community Flow
• WallStreetBets: 24‑hour mentions 32, upvotes 137, 23 active users, 92% bullish sentiment.
• r/SMCIDiscussion: Debates focus on Russell 1000 inclusion prospects and CFRA research, with “M.O.A.T status” a hot topic.

Outlook & Risk Summary
Ongoing AI and cloud‑server demand combined with strengthened liquidity should sustain the rally.
However, lowered guidance, dilution risk from convertible notes, export‑control and accounting issues may increase short‑term volatility.

Deep Report
• Detailed analysis of convertible‑note terms and dilution impact
• Global AI server‑infrastructure market forecast and competitor comparison
• Quarterly cash‑flow structure deep dive
• Assessment of internal control and regulatory risks

Brand Notice
This report is produced using the VPAR rhythm‑analysis methodology, which combines chart rhythms and funds‑flow patterns to identify optimal trading opportunities. All investment decisions are the sole responsibility of the investor.

Newmont (NEM.NYS) Holds $65.75 Box Range – $50–$60 Support Could Spark Long-Term Reversal

Hello, this is JinLog, top trader.
In the video, I deliver a talk-show style commentary, and you can find the full written report on my blog.
Reacting to every piece of news and event can erode both capital and time.
The VPAR rhythm trading method captures overall flow timing and selectively responds only to key news and events at major support (“pivot”) levels.
By monitoring both sector and individual stock trends and tracking live indicators during streams, you can manage risk while pursuing higher returns.

Summary
Newmont reported Q2 2025 adjusted EPS of $1.43 and revenue of $5.3 billion—beating estimates and driving a 4.8% share gain to $64.45 Barron’snewmont.com.
Gold prices are up 41% year-over-year to $3,320/oz, boosting Newmont’s top-line and enabling a new $3 billion buyback authorization (with $1.36 billion already repurchased) Barron’s.
Currently trading at $65.75, Newmont is digesting its mid-term box range—and a drop into the $50–$60 area next year could signal a major long-term trend reversal.

Investment Opinion

  • Short-Term: Accumulate near $62.90 after Trap 3/3 resolution and confirmation of rhythm acceleration with volume expansion.
  • Swing-Term: Add around $59.20 when rhythm development and sustained buying pressure emerge.
  • Mid-Term: Target entries at $51.30 consolidation; a revisit of $50–$60 support could mark a strategic pivot into a new upward cycle.

Chart Explanation
“Here is the Newmont chart you requested.
The circled areas, past and present, mark consolidation and breakout zones,
with higher probability buying near swing or mid-term lines.
Please review trend and wave patterns on each timeframe.”

Rhythm Analysis
Short-, swing-, and mid-term all show trend acceleration with clear rhythm expansion—Bollinger Bands widening and surging volume confirm buying momentum.
Maintained above the box range center, Newmont is poised to retest upper targets unless external shocks trigger a deeper pullback into $50–$60 support.

Financial Flow
• Q2 2025 adjusted EPS: $1.43 vs. $1.16 consensus; GAAP EPS $1.23 야후 금융
• Q2 revenue: $5.3 billion (+21% YoY) Barron’s
• Generated $1.86 billion in incremental gold revenue H1 2025 Barron’s
• Announced $3 billion new buyback; $1.36 billion executed YTD Barron’s
• Net debt reduced to $7.5 billion; disciplined capital spending ongoing Barron’s

News / Risk / Events
• Red Chris Rescue: Three workers trapped 60 hours at Red Chris mine were safely freed, underscoring Newmont’s emergency protocols Reuters.
• Share Buyback: Additional $3 billion program announced, reflecting strong cash flow Barron’s.
• Sustainability Report: 2024 ESG report published per GRI and SASB standards newmont.com.
• Risk: Gold price volatility, mine-site incidents, and macro shifts could trigger pullbacks.

Strategy Scenarios

  • Short-Term Buy: Entry $62.90; conditions: Trap 3/3 + rhythm acceleration + volume expansion + gold price strength.
  • Swing-Term Buy: Entry $59.20; conditions: Trap 3/3 + rhythm development + sustained institutional flows.
  • Mid-Term Buy: Entry $51.30; conditions: Trap 3/3 + rhythm acceleration + revisit of $50–$60 support marking a new upward phase.

Elliott Wave Analysis

  • Short-Term: Wave 3 underway (entry around $62.90) + Trap 3/3 + rhythm expansion.
  • Swing-Term: Wave 4 corrective phase (entry around $59.20) + Trap 3/3 + volume support.
  • Mid-Term: Wave 5 extension likely toward $82 target + Trap 3/3 + rhythm re-expansion.

Community Flow

  • Reddit (r/GoldMining): Mentions spiked +35% MoM; sentiment 60% positive MINING.COM.
  • Twitter (#Newmont): Tweets up 28%; bullish hashtags “#GoldRally” and “#SafeHaven” trending.
  • StockTwits: Bullish bets at 68% vs. 32% bearish.

Outlook & Risk Summary

  • Opportunities: Continued gold price momentum, robust buyback, and cost discipline.
  • Risks: Potential mine-site disruptions, regulatory changes, and broader commodity cyclicality.

In-Depth Report
Further analysis of institutional flows, options positioning, and producer cost curves will be provided to sharpen entry/exit timing.

Brand Disclaimer
This report is based on the VPAR rhythm trading methodology, combining chart rhythm patterns with order-flow analysis to identify optimal entry points. All investment decisions are the sole responsibility of the investor.

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