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Investment Opinion
📌 Short-term: Wait and buy on dips → Focus on rhythm consolidation phase
📌 Mid-term: Upward trend potential remains valid
📌 Likely to repeat breakout phases driven by news/policy catalysts
→ Performance Expectation
- 2-week target: +4.2% → $29.65 (Probability 60%)
- 2-month target: +12.5% → $32.00 (Probability 70%)
- 2-year long-term target: +52.8% → $43.50 (Probability 80%)
2️⃣ Summary
✅ Where is the key rhythm zone this time? Check the points below.
Coupang recently entered a re-acceleration attempt phase after a 52-week high breakout and slight pullback.
Technically, both monthly and weekly charts show a consolidation at the upper rhythm box, with an attempt to expand upward.
Fundamentally, improving EBITDA margins, share buyback news, and OTT growth support the mid-term bullish momentum.
VPAR Chart Explanation This is the Coupang chart (CPNG), as requested for analysis. The circled areas in the past and present are potential short-term trend (yellow) consolidation and upward trend points. These points have a higher probability and potential return when they are near the swing line (white) or medium-term line (orange). Each chart has its own wave tension and trend. Currently, it has clearly transitioned to a long-term trend (yearly wave) since April 2024 and is showing an upward-sloping box pattern centered around the medium-term resistance/supply. When the short-term/swing deviation correction is complete, there is a possibility of a sharp upward move (“shooting”) if an event occurs. If it breaks below (the current support/box), consider it a point to enter the medium-term resistance/supply box.
3️⃣ VPAR Rhythm Analysis
Monthly
- Rhythm: Testing upper box trap zone → Watching for re-acceleration
- Bands: Approaching upper dotted band → Expansion potential remains valid
- Momentum: RSI/MACD holding strong → Mid-term bullish
Weekly
- Rhythm: Box breakout → Current consolidation
- Bands: 20EMA / 60EMA in bullish alignment → Ready for further upside after pullback
- Volume: Consistent inflow → Bullish signal
Daily
- Rhythm: Rise → Consolidation → Early re-acceleration
- Bands: Mid-box consolidation, upper test ongoing
- MACD: Bullish crossover → Re-buy zone approaching
60-min
- Rhythm: Failed breakout → Currently consolidating within short-term box
- Volume: Decreasing → Momentum rebuilding needed
- Trap: Upper trap formed, no full pullback → Re-entry valid
4️⃣ Financials
- Revenue growth continues ($7.9B, +11%)
- EBITDA margin improved to 4.8%
- Net profit positive ($154M)
- Strong liquidity ($6.0B cash)
5️⃣ News & Risk Summary
News
- $15B credit secured → Enhances growth flexibility
- $1B share buyback → Supports shareholder value
- Coupang Play showing strong growth → Expanding OTT base
Risks
- Insider selling reported → May cause short-term sentiment dip
- Global expansion costs increasing
6️⃣ Strategy Scenario
🎯 Entry
- Buy in the $27.80 ~ $28.20 range
🎯 Targets
- 1st target: $29.65 (Probability 60%)
- 2nd target: $32.00 (Probability 70%)
- 3rd target (Long-term): $43.50 (Probability 80%)
🚫 Stop-Loss
- Below $26.90 → Trim half position
- Below $25.50 → Full exit
7️⃣ Outlook
A new re-acceleration phase is unfolding after consolidation.
The mid-term bullish momentum remains valid, supported by fundamental drivers.
Watch the next 2–4 weeks for potential breakout above key resistance zones.
8️⃣ Deep Report
- Institutional flow: Foreign net buying continues, institutional selling slowing
- Short interest: Reduced to ~1.1%
- Social trends: Positive keywords on “Coupang Play”, “share buyback”, “52-week high”
✅ Summary
Coupang remains in a mid-term bullish rhythm.
Current phase offers a buy-the-dip opportunity, with potential for re-acceleration in coming weeks.