Category: Nasdaq

“Briefly: Nasdaq 2020 and 2025, NDX100”

“I’m posting this because someone asked for a comparison. Please compare the charts.

Currently, you can roughly see it around the June 2020 pattern position.

While it could go into a short-term trend, there’s a higher chance of a swing trend. So, if it gets pushed down by events/issues, react around the 21600 level for 2-3 months of swing trading.

Please refer to this post.

Thank you.”

NASDAQ 100: Will Genius Bill Mark the End of the Box Range? 23K Breakout in Sight?

NASDAQ100 #NDX #GeniusBill #TechRally #AIStocks #GeopoliticalRisks #SwingTrading #ElliottWave #RhythmAnalysis #Volatility #MacroControl #MarketStructure #USStockMarket #23000Breakout #StockForecast

Hello, this is JinLog, your top trader and market analyst.
This video includes both technical analysis and scenario-based strategy discussions.
Blog-format summary is also available for quick reference.

“Following the post regarding the one-month consolidation after the GENIUS Act announcement.”

After the Genius Bill announcement, NDX entered a 1-month box range.
With rhythm expansion now underway, key technical zones are being revisited.
War-related headlines appear more like macro control narratives than actual market disruptors,
suggesting a calculated transition into a full swing and mid-term expansion phase.

  • Short-term trend: Maintained → Rhythm expansion → Entry: 22,000
  • Swing trend: Maintained → Rhythm expansion → Entry: 21,650
  • Mid-term trend: Maintained → Rhythm expansion → Entry: 21,500
  • Current Price: 22,534

5. Investment Outlook

  • Short-term: Rhythm breakout likely → 23,000 in sight
  • Swing: Solid uptrend → Target 24,900
  • Mid-term: Long-range continuation to 26,270 expected

6. Chart Commentary


“This is the chart for the NASDAQ 100.
Highlighted zones mark key merge points in short-term trends with bullish structure.
The closer we are to swing or mid-term trendlines, the higher the probability and yield.
Always monitor rhythm and wave formations on each chart.”

7. Rhythm Analysis

  • Short-term Rhythm: Expanding → Confirmed if 22,000 holds
  • Swing Rhythm: Entry at 21,650 shows upside potential in expanded structure
  • Mid-term Rhythm: Expansion phase activated → momentum buildup from 21,500

8. Financial Overview

(Index-based report – individual earnings not detailed)

  • Focused on composite earnings trend for tech/AI-heavy constituents
  • Key weight: NVDA, AMD, MSFT, GOOG, AAPL → guiding rhythm flow

9. News / Risks / Events

  • Genius Bill triggered a box pattern over 4 weeks
  • Geopolitical conflicts serve as justifications for liquidity control
  • Death and injuries seen as tokens in macro chessboard by institutional players
  • AI optimism + Fed’s pause stance on rates = bullish drivers

10. Strategy Scenarios

✅ Short-Term Strategy

  • Entry Zone: 22,000
  • Condition: Rhythm expansion + short-term trendline support + momentum confirmation

✅ Swing Strategy

  • Entry Zone: 21,650
  • Condition: Expanded rhythm + trend confirmation + 2nd-stage trap cleared

✅ Mid-Term Strategy

  • Entry Zone: 21,500
  • Condition: Long-term rhythm breakout + earnings tailwind + structural wave support

11. Elliott Wave Analysis

  • Current Phase: Wave 2 complete → Wave 3 onset likely
  • Scenario: Accumulation between 21,500 ~ 22,000
  • Wave Targets:
    • Wave 1 Peak: 23,000
    • Wave 2 Base: 21,500
    • Wave 3 Target: 26,270

12. Community Sentiment

PlatformKeywordsSentimentSummary
Reddit#NDX, #AIstocksNeutral → Bullish“AI still hot, but overvaluation mentioned”
StockTwits#NDX100, #GeniusBillRising Interest“Expecting strong move after Genius Bill”
Twitter#TechRally, #MacroControlMixed“Even war seen as a market control tool”

13. Forecast & Risk Summary

  • Forecast: Box breakout likely, full swing wave beginning
  • Risks: Earnings disappointments, macro event fatigue, no fresh narratives
  • Flow Factors: Continued AI fund inflow from institutions
  • Technical Note: Rhythm expansion = signal for ongoing upward trend

14. Advanced Insights

  • Institutional flow: Confirmed via leveraged ETFs (e.g., TQQQ, QQQ)
  • Social mentions: +41% increase month-over-month
  • Short interest: Being covered in low-volume pops
  • AI flow: Heavily concentrated in mega-cap tech → mid-tier AI plateau

15. Disclaimer

This report is based on the VPAR Rhythm Analysis System.
All rhythm flows, wave interpretations, and scenario setups are for educational and strategic reference.
Investment decisions must be made at the investor’s sole discretion and risk.

NASDAQ Eyes the Dotted Line – Will a Short-Term Breakout Explode? NDX (NASDAQ 100)

#NASDAQ100 #NDXAnalysis #MarketOutlook #RHYTHMIXReport #ChartBreakout
#USFutures #SwingSupport #DottedResistance #TopTraderGeneLog #FibonacciSupport

Hello, this is Top Trader GeneLog.
You can follow the chart-based insights directly on the blog, and live updates on index flow are shared through our real-time broadcast.

VPAR Chart Explanation This is the NASDAQ-100 chart. The circled areas in the past and present are potential short-term trend turning points; consolidation coupled with an upward trend represents a trading entry point. Each chart has its own wave pattern/trend. Following the rebound from the medium-term resistance/supply level mentioned last week, it is now showing a pattern of re-establishing itself on the short-term line. The trading point is focused on checking whether the swing support line at 21,540 is broken through within approximately one week.

1. 📈 Phase Core – Pre-Market Highlights (Phase Shift)

The NASDAQ 100 closed the previous session with a strong upward reversal (+2.28%).
As of the pre-market, it’s hovering at 21,476 and re-approaching the swing support dotted line at 21,540.

Asian markets closed mixed; Europe slightly weakened with consumer sectors lagging.
U.S. futures are tilting bullish, led by tech—suggesting a possible micro-phase reversal in rhythm.

2. ⏱ Alignment View – U.S. Indices in Sync

  • S&P 500 Futures: +0.2%
  • NASDAQ 100 Futures: +0.5%
  • Dow Futures: +0.1%

The rhythm across major indices is synchronized bullish, and NASDAQ 100 is pacing the charge as it tests above key swing trendline zones.

3. 🌀 Rhythm Trap – Sector Rotation Highlights

  • AI / Semiconductors: Eyeing a new breakout near resistance
  • Fintech / Consumer: Potential rebound entry from recent dips
  • Energy / Commodities: Pullback in oil = resistance test ongoing
  • Financials: Sideways consolidation amid rate fluctuation moderation

4. 🧭 Visual Mapper – Technical Flow Reconnection

  • 120-min Chart: Holding above centerline; breakout retest of swing support dotted line (21,540) with RSI+MACD aligning
  • Daily Chart: 3x rejection at the short-term trendline (yellow solid) with price compressing → breakout = explosive
  • Weekly Chart: Trend remains up, price sitting between swing trendline (white solid) and dotted zone

🟨 Note: Short-term support = yellow dotted line
⬜ Swing support = white dotted line

5. 🎯 Strategic Scenario (Entry / Targets / Stop-Loss)

💡 Based on RHYTHMIX Ver 6.9 + Fibonacci / RSI as supplemental logic

TypeRange / ValueRationale
Entry$21,350 – $21,420Above centerline with volume rebound confirmation
Target ①$21,750Dotted breakout and resistance compression
Target ②$22,320Expansion near 161.8% Fibonacci swing projection
Stop-Loss$21,180 break belowCenterline loss with RSI<50, MACD rollover risk

6. 🔍 RHYTHMIX Rhythm Summary (Ver 6.9)

  • Monthly: Macro rhythm stable, candle length extension evident
  • Weekly: Sitting just below resistance band; RSI cooling but not reversing
  • Daily: Compression below dotted line, 3rd tap rhythm supports reversal
  • 120-min: Early breakout rhythm, MACD crossing + RSI 61 → risk-on bias

7. 📊 Technical Indicators Summary

  • RSI(14): 62.4 – Entering strong trend confirmation zone
  • MACD(12,26): +45.2 – Still expanding
  • ADX(14): 28.3 – Healthy momentum level
  • Stochastic(9,6): 91.1 – Overbought, but consistent with trend continuations
  • Fibonacci Zone (Swing): $22,320 ≈ 161.8% from $20,850–$21,420 impulse

8. 📰 Macro & News Summary

  • PCE Data (May 31): Expected at +0.3% MoM, a key inflation trigger
  • FED Watch (May 29): Scheduled Fed speakers may shift tone on rate path
  • Tech Drivers: NVDA, MSFT, AAPL maintain heavy order flow into Q2 close

💬 Comment (Emotional Closing Block)

“You’re walking above the dotted line.
What holds in rhythm today, may rise as the next wave tomorrow.”