Newmont (NEM.NYS) Holds $65.75 Box Range – $50–$60 Support Could Spark Long-Term Reversal

Hello, this is JinLog, top trader.
In the video, I deliver a talk-show style commentary, and you can find the full written report on my blog.
Reacting to every piece of news and event can erode both capital and time.
The VPAR rhythm trading method captures overall flow timing and selectively responds only to key news and events at major support (“pivot”) levels.
By monitoring both sector and individual stock trends and tracking live indicators during streams, you can manage risk while pursuing higher returns.

Summary
Newmont reported Q2 2025 adjusted EPS of $1.43 and revenue of $5.3 billion—beating estimates and driving a 4.8% share gain to $64.45 Barron’snewmont.com.
Gold prices are up 41% year-over-year to $3,320/oz, boosting Newmont’s top-line and enabling a new $3 billion buyback authorization (with $1.36 billion already repurchased) Barron’s.
Currently trading at $65.75, Newmont is digesting its mid-term box range—and a drop into the $50–$60 area next year could signal a major long-term trend reversal.

Investment Opinion

  • Short-Term: Accumulate near $62.90 after Trap 3/3 resolution and confirmation of rhythm acceleration with volume expansion.
  • Swing-Term: Add around $59.20 when rhythm development and sustained buying pressure emerge.
  • Mid-Term: Target entries at $51.30 consolidation; a revisit of $50–$60 support could mark a strategic pivot into a new upward cycle.

Chart Explanation
“Here is the Newmont chart you requested.
The circled areas, past and present, mark consolidation and breakout zones,
with higher probability buying near swing or mid-term lines.
Please review trend and wave patterns on each timeframe.”

Rhythm Analysis
Short-, swing-, and mid-term all show trend acceleration with clear rhythm expansion—Bollinger Bands widening and surging volume confirm buying momentum.
Maintained above the box range center, Newmont is poised to retest upper targets unless external shocks trigger a deeper pullback into $50–$60 support.

Financial Flow
• Q2 2025 adjusted EPS: $1.43 vs. $1.16 consensus; GAAP EPS $1.23 야후 금융
• Q2 revenue: $5.3 billion (+21% YoY) Barron’s
• Generated $1.86 billion in incremental gold revenue H1 2025 Barron’s
• Announced $3 billion new buyback; $1.36 billion executed YTD Barron’s
• Net debt reduced to $7.5 billion; disciplined capital spending ongoing Barron’s

News / Risk / Events
Red Chris Rescue: Three workers trapped 60 hours at Red Chris mine were safely freed, underscoring Newmont’s emergency protocols Reuters.
Share Buyback: Additional $3 billion program announced, reflecting strong cash flow Barron’s.
Sustainability Report: 2024 ESG report published per GRI and SASB standards newmont.com.
Risk: Gold price volatility, mine-site incidents, and macro shifts could trigger pullbacks.

Strategy Scenarios

  • Short-Term Buy: Entry $62.90; conditions: Trap 3/3 + rhythm acceleration + volume expansion + gold price strength.
  • Swing-Term Buy: Entry $59.20; conditions: Trap 3/3 + rhythm development + sustained institutional flows.
  • Mid-Term Buy: Entry $51.30; conditions: Trap 3/3 + rhythm acceleration + revisit of $50–$60 support marking a new upward phase.

Elliott Wave Analysis

  • Short-Term: Wave 3 underway (entry around $62.90) + Trap 3/3 + rhythm expansion.
  • Swing-Term: Wave 4 corrective phase (entry around $59.20) + Trap 3/3 + volume support.
  • Mid-Term: Wave 5 extension likely toward $82 target + Trap 3/3 + rhythm re-expansion.

Community Flow

  • Reddit (r/GoldMining): Mentions spiked +35% MoM; sentiment 60% positive MINING.COM.
  • Twitter (#Newmont): Tweets up 28%; bullish hashtags “#GoldRally” and “#SafeHaven” trending.
  • StockTwits: Bullish bets at 68% vs. 32% bearish.

Outlook & Risk Summary

  • Opportunities: Continued gold price momentum, robust buyback, and cost discipline.
  • Risks: Potential mine-site disruptions, regulatory changes, and broader commodity cyclicality.

In-Depth Report
Further analysis of institutional flows, options positioning, and producer cost curves will be provided to sharpen entry/exit timing.

Brand Disclaimer
This report is based on the VPAR rhythm trading methodology, combining chart rhythm patterns with order-flow analysis to identify optimal entry points. All investment decisions are the sole responsibility of the investor.

AMD (AMD.NAS): Poised for a Short‑Term Breakout? Can AI & Data‑Center Tailwinds Sustain the Rally?

Hello, this is JinLog, top trader.
In the video, I deliver a talk‑show style commentary, and you can find the full written report on my blog.
Reacting to every piece of news and event can erode both capital and time.
The VPAR rhythm trading method captures overall flow timing and selectively responds only to key news and events at major support (“pivot”) levels.
By monitoring both sector and individual stock trends and tracking live indicators during streams, you can manage risk while pursuing higher returns.

Summary
AMD is once again confirming its mid‑term support at $168 with continued intraday trend strength, suggesting a high likelihood of a short‑term breakout.
In Q1, revenue hit $7.4 billion (+36%) with a gross margin of 50% (non‑GAAP 54%), driven by robust AI and data‑center demand fueling share gains.
Entry points are set at $160 (short), $137 (swing), and $125 (mid), with targets at $181, $195, and $226 respectively.
On any pullback, consider re‑entering in the $130–$140 range over the next 4–6 months.

Investment Opinion
Short‑Term: Recommend buying around $160 once rhythm rising and volume expansion signals are confirmed.
Swing: Suggest adding near $137 support when Trap 3/3 is resolved and AI event momentum is present.
Mid‑Term: Look for buying opportunities around $125 consolidation when rhythm development is confirmed, framing positions within a long‑term upward box range.

Chart Explanation
“Here is the AMD chart you requested.
The circled areas, past and present, mark short‑term trend consolidation and upward movement zones,
with higher probability and returns around the swing or mid‑term lines.
Please review trend and wave patterns on each timeframe.”

Rhythm Analysis
The current market, driven by strong AI and data‑center demand, has entered a high‑volatility phase and shows a robust rhythm uptrend at the upper Bollinger Band despite RSI overbought warnings.
Short‑term and swing are in the rhythm rising/maintenance stage, confirmed by Bollinger Band expansion, while a MACD golden cross and surge in volume reinforce the volume expansion signal.
Mid‑term is in an expansion phase following band contraction, suggesting additional upside once the band’s midpoint (pivot) is reclaimed.

Financial Flow
• Q1 2025 revenue: $7.4 billion (+36%), non‑GAAP gross margin: 54%
• GAAP operating income: $806 million; non‑GAAP operating income: $1.8 billion
• GAAP net income: $709 million; non‑GAAP net income: $1.6 billion; EPS GAAP $0.44, non‑GAAP $0.96
• Q2 revenue guidance: $7.1–7.7 billion, above consensus
• Robust cash flow and stable leverage ratio

News / Risk / Events
• June 12: At ‘Advancing AI 2025,’ AMD unveiled next‑gen AI servers and an open AI ecosystem vision
• July 23: Launched Radeon AI PRO R9700 (32 GB), enhancing on‑premise AI workload competitiveness
• August 5: Scheduled Q2 earnings release at 5:00 PM EDT
• Risk of short‑term pullback due to options overbought signals
• Monitor competition from NVIDIA and Intel’s pricing pressure and potential supply‑chain bottlenecks

Strategy Scenarios
Short‑Term Buy Strategy
Entry Zone: around $160
Conditions: Trap resolution 3/3 + rhythm rising trend + volume expansion signal + confirmation of AI/data‑center event

Swing Buy Strategy
Entry Zone: around $137
Conditions: Trap resolution 3/3 + maintained rhythm uptrend + confirmation of high‑volatility market regime + positive shift in channel sentiment

Mid‑Term Buy Strategy
Entry Zone: $125 consolidation/formation area
Conditions: Trap resolution 3/3+ + rhythm development stage + long‑term upward box range perspective

Elliott Wave Analysis
Short‑term: Wave 3 underway (entry at $160) + Trap 3/3 + rhythm expansion
Swing: Wave 4 corrective phase (entry at $137) + Trap 3/3 + volume expansion
Mid‑term: Wave 5 extension phase (target at $226) + Trap 3/3 + rhythm re‑expansion

Community Flow
Reddit (r/AMD)
• Mention volume: +22% MoM → 12,300 mentions
• Top keywords: “AI,” “Zen 5,” “RadeonAI”

Twitter (#AMD)
• Tweet volume: 9,000 → 12,150 (+35%)
• Positive sentiment: 68% / Neutral: 20% / Negative: 12%

StockTwits
• Mentions: 6,200 → 7,000 (+13%)
• Bullish bets: 72% / Bearish bets: 28%

Outlook & Risk Summary
• Opportunities: Continued AI/data‑center demand may drive revaluation.
• Risks: Competitor pricing pressure, pullbacks from options overbought signals, and higher interest‑rate volatility in tech stocks.

In‑Depth Report
• Institutional net buying increased to 22% share; short interest stable around 5%
• AI‑focused ETF holdings up 18%, signaling greater data‑center capex
• Rise in HFT and algorithmic trading participation may accelerate the trend

Brand Disclaimer
This report is based on the VPAR rhythm trading methodology, combining chart rhythm patterns with order‑flow analysis to identify optimal entry points. All investment decisions are the sole responsibility of the investor.

The Metals Company (TMC.NAS): Double‑Top Breakdown or Swing Support?

Hello, this is Jin‑Log, your top trader.
In this video‑style report, we walk through critical patterns and catalysts, with the full write‑up available on the blog.
Endless news and events can lead to overtrading, which erodes both capital and time.
The VPAR Rhythm Trading Method focuses on only the highest‑impact news and events that coincide with key support “pivot points.”
By combining sectorwide context with live index monitoring, you can manage risk while chasing optimal returns.

Summary
– Trading at $7.07, The Metals Company carries a market cap of roughly $3.0 billion.
– A double‑top formed on April 1 and May 20 has unleashed selling pressure. Watch for swing‑level support at $6.24 or a deeper breakdown toward $4.00.
– 2024 net loss totaled $81.9 million, reflecting ongoing exploration spending.
– Strategic financing includes $37 million raised on May 12 and an $85.2 million stake purchase by Korea Zinc—totaling $122.2 million in fresh capital.
– Q1 2025 net loss was $21 million, with Q2 results expected August 13.
– Deep‑sea mining permits remain in regulatory limbo under ISA guidelines and face environmental opposition.

Investment Opinion

  • Short‑Term: After the trendline break, wait for initial rhythm formation and order‑flow stabilization before scaling in.
  • Swing: Enter around $6.24 once Trap resolution ≥ 2/3, rhythm shifts from down to up, and order‑flow reversal is confirmed.
  • Mid‑Term: Target $3.50 for incremental entry, adding positions when rhythm expansion and institutional flow acceleration coincide.

Chart Explanation
“This is the daily chart for The Metals Company (TMC.NAS).
The April 1 and May 20 peaks form a classic double‑top—a high‑risk reversal zone.
Key re‑entry pivots lie at the swing support ($6.24) and swing pivot ($4.00).
Always confirm trend, rhythm, and flow signals across your timeframes.”

Rhythm Analysis

  • Short‑Term Rhythm: Transitioning from expansion into initial consolidation—currently in the expansion/formation phase post‑breakout.
  • Swing Rhythm: Accelerating above the bands then rolling over into a down‑to‑up transition pattern.
  • Mid‑Term Rhythm: Sustained expansion, with bands widening alongside strong upward momentum.

Financial Flow
2024 Net Loss: $81.9 million, reflecting pre‑commercial exploration costs.
Q1 2025 Net Loss: $21 million, in line with seasonal R&D outlays.
Capital Raises: Secured $37 million (May 12) and $85.2 million from Korea Zinc, providing ample runway.

News / Risk / Events

  • Q2 2025 Earnings: Scheduled for August 13; consensus EPS at –$0.06.
  • Korea Zinc Investment: Strengthens balance sheet and reduces funding risk.
  • Regulatory Push: U.S. permitting accelerated under recent executive actions; ISA framework still pending.
  • Environmental Pressure: UN and NGOs call for a moratorium on deep‑sea mining, posing timeline uncertainty.

Strategy Scenarios

  • Short‑Term Buy
    • Entry Zone: Post‑break rhythm stabilization
    • Conditions: Trap resolution ≥ 1/3 + early expansion signal + order‑flow pickup
  • Swing Buy
    • Entry Zone: $6.24
    • Conditions: Trap resolution ≥ 2/3 + rhythm reversal + flow confirmation
  • Mid‑Term Buy
    • Entry Zone: $3.50
    • Conditions: Rhythm expansion + institutional flow acceleration

Elliott Wave Analysis

  • Short‑Term: Completed Wave 3 at the double‑top; Wave 4 correction underway—watch for Trap 2/3 near support.
  • Swing: Wave 4 correction around $6.24; a valid Wave 5 resumption hinges on clear rhythm recovery.
  • Mid‑Term: Wave 5 extension expected if deep‑sea mining catalysts accelerate.

Community Flow

  • StockTwits: 23,119 watchers; mention volume recently up 8%.
  • Retail Sentiment: “Sell” bias at 58% vs. “Buy” at 42%, reflecting caution.
  • Reddit r/DeepSeaMining: Active debates on permitting and ESG impact.

Outlook & Risk Summary
Strong capital at hand and strategic backing from Korea Zinc support mid‑term growth, but deep‑sea mining permits, regulatory timing, and environmental opposition pose execution risks. Leverage any further pullback as a structured re‑entry opportunity, while monitoring permit milestones and ESG developments.

Deep Dive Report
– AI‑driven order‑flow and liquidity profile analysis
– Volume‑by‑price and liquidity convergence/divergence metrics
– Automated community sentiment integration and influencer monitoring

Brand Disclaimer
→ This report is produced using the VPAR Rhythm Trading Method, combining chart rhythms and liquidity patterns to pinpoint optimal entry points. All trading decisions are the sole responsibility of the investor.

TheMetalsCompany #TMC #DeepSeaMining #DoubleTop #SwingTrading #MidTermEntry #Strategy #KoreaZinc #FinancialStability #ChartAnalysis #TrendShift #RiskManagement #MarketAdjustment #InvestmentPoint #CommunitySentiment

Joby Aviation (JOBY.NYS) – When Is the Optimal Re‑Entry After the Short‑Term Pullback?

Hello, this is Jin‑Log, your top trader.
In this video‑style report, we dissect key moves and context, and you can find the full write‑up on the blog.
Endless news and events can tempt you into overtrading, which erodes both your capital and time.
The VPAR Rhythm Trading Method isolates only the most critical news and events that align with major support zones (“pivot points”).
By combining sector overview with live monitoring of indices, you can manage risk while pursuing high returns.

Summary
– Trading at $16.16, Joby Aviation carries a market cap of roughly $14.17 billion.
– Since hitting our June 7 target, selling pressure broke the daily short‑term trendline, triggering a ~2‑week correction.
– As of Q3 2024, Joby held $710 million in cash and short‑term investments, ensuring ample runway.
– June 2025 saw Joby complete its first pilot conversion flight in Dubai, boosting commercial rollout expectations.

Investment Opinion

  • Short‑Term: With the short‑term trendline broken, consider booking partial profits and wait for the 2‑week correction to unfold before re‑entering.
  • Swing: Maintain staggered entries around $11.50; reduce exposure near prior swing highs and prepare to re‑enter on the next corrective leg.
  • Mid‑Term: Build positions incrementally around $9.00, adding when rhythm indicators show renewed strength and liquidity expands.

Chart Explanation
“This is the daily chart for Joby Aviation (JOBY.NYS).
The June 7 circle highlights the short‑term consolidation and target achievement,
while near swing and mid‑term pivots offer lower‑risk re‑entry zones.
Always confirm trend, rhythm, and volume dynamics on each timeframe.”

Rhythm Analysis

  • Short‑Term Rhythm: Entered a deceleration/adjustment phase following expansion and trap resolution—currently in a weakening rhythm.
  • Swing Rhythm: Recovering around the pivot, showing sustained ascent signals.
  • Mid‑Term Rhythm: Strong expansion beyond the bands, with continuing upward momentum.

Financial Flow
– Held $710 million cash & equivalents as of Q3 2024, securing operational runway.
– Toyota’s $500 million investment lifted total funding to $894 million, underpinning production readiness.

News / Risks / Events

  • FAA Certification: Final flight tests are ~80% complete, targeting full approval by 2026.
  • Dubai Pilot Flight: June’s conversion flight success paves the way for four vertiport rollouts across Dubai.
  • Sector Risks: Lilium’s funding challenges and regulatory delays underscore eVTOL industry funding and approval risks.

Strategy Scenarios

  • Short‑Term Buy
    • Entry Zone: $14.70 (June 7 pivot)
    • Conditions: Trap resolution ≥ 2/3 + initial rhythm recovery + fading selling pressure
  • Swing Buy
    • Entry Zone: $11.50
    • Conditions: Sustained rhythm ascent + market sentiment rebound
  • Mid‑Term Buy
    • Entry Zone: $9.00
    • Conditions: Expanding liquidity flows + Dubai commercialization catalyst

Elliott Wave Analysis

  • Short‑Term: Completed Wave 3 at $14.70, monitor for Trap 2/3 during Wave 4 correction.
  • Swing: Wave 4 correction around $11.50; watch for Wave 5 resumption.
  • Mid‑Term: Wave 5 acceleration expected, fueled by Dubai service launch.

Community Flow

  • StockTwits: 22,437 watchers; ~96 mentions in the past 24 hours.
  • Retail Sentiment: Buy score 66/100; message volume up 284%.
  • Reddit r/JobyAviation: Active discussions on equity raises and funding strategy three weeks ago.

Outlook and Risk Summary
Ample cash and strategic partnerships with Toyota and Dubai bolster mid‑term growth, but eVTOL funding constraints and regulatory timelines remain key risks. Leverage the current pullback as a tactical re‑entry opportunity, while closely monitoring certification progress and major events.

Deep Dive Report
– Quantitative analysis of AI‑driven order flow and institutional activity
– Detailed volume profile and liquidity convergence/divergence metrics
– Automated community sentiment integration

Brand Disclaimer
→ This report employs the VPAR Rhythm Trading Method, combining chart rhythms and liquidity patterns to identify optimal entry points. All investment decisions are the responsibility of the investor.

Alphabet C (GOOG) Breaks Mid‑Term Supply Zone: Buy at $182, $175 & $181?

Hello, this is JinLog, top trader.
I deliver rhythm analysis reports in a talk‐show format, and you can read the full report on my blog.
Reacting to every single news item leads to overtrading, which erodes both your capital and your time.
The VPAR Rhythm Trading Method captures the broader trend timing and only responds at key pivot zones.
By monitoring sector and stock together—and tuning into live broadcasts—you can manage risk and seek higher returns efficiently.


Summary
Alphabet C entered a swing trend in early July and has just cleared a mid‑term supply zone, signaling a potential shift from range waves into a sustained uptrend.
It currently trades at $185.94, with entry points at $182 (short), $175 (swing) and $181 (mid). Targets are set at $195, $217 and $240 respectively. Google Cloud’s 26% revenue growth and the OpenAI partnership underpin AI demand, but EU antitrust fines and Chrome divestiture talks present regulatory headwinds.


Investment Opinion

  • Short‑Term Buy
    Entry: $182 → Target: $195
    Enter when rhythm formation and TRAP ≥2/3 are confirmed.
  • Swing‑Term Buy
    Entry: $175 → Target: $217
    Enter on a rhythm pullback & recovery alongside sustained order‑flow buildup.
  • Mid‑Term Buy
    Entry: $181 → Target: $240
    Enter after mid‑term consolidation signals a new acceleration and regulatory risks are priced in.

Chart Explanation
Here is the Alphabet C (GOOG) chart you requested.
The circled zones mark short‑term consolidation and breakout points.
Touches of the swing and mid pivots tend to offer higher-probability, higher-reward entry opportunities.
Always verify trend and wave flow across multiple timeframes.


Rhythm Analysis

  • Short‑Term Rhythm: Acceleration/maintenance — band expansion confirms rising momentum.
  • Swing‑Term Rhythm: Upswing/maintenance — centerline recovery signals a solid trend.
  • Mid‑Term Rhythm: Formation — band contraction suggests a buildup before the next leg.

Financial Flow

  • Q2 2025 Results: Revenue $93.8 B (+10.7% YoY), Net Income $26.5 B (+12.2% YoY).
  • Google Cloud: Revenue $12.26 B (+26% YoY), anchoring growth.
  • Balance Sheet: Strong cash reserves and ample R&D capacity.

News / Risks / Events

  • OpenAI Partnership: OpenAI designates Google Cloud as its official cloud partner, fueling AI workloads.
  • Regulatory Risk: EU antitrust fine of €4.1 B and ongoing Chrome divestiture discussion.
  • Analyst Views: Consensus “Strong Buy,” KeyBanc raises target to $215.

Strategy Scenarios

  • Short‑Term
    • Entry: $182
    • Conditions: TRAP ≥2/3 + rhythm formation + order‐flow buildup + OpenAI event check
  • Swing‑Term
    • Entry: $175
    • Conditions: TRAP ≥2/3 + rhythm recovery + order‐flow buildup + volatility check
  • Mid‑Term
    • Entry: $181
    • Conditions: TRAP ≥2/3 + mid‐term formation + regulatory risk monitoring + order‐flow buildup

Elliott Wave Analysis

  • Short‑Term: Wave 3 at $182 with TRAP 2/3 and rhythm expansion—prime impulse wave.
  • Swing‑Term: Wave 4 at $175 with TRAP 2/3 and rhythm recovery—ideal re‑entry.
  • Mid‑Term: Wave 2 at $181 with TRAP 2/3 and order‑flow buildup—foundation for next impulse.

Community Flow

  • Reddit r/technology: Mentions +15% (3,800 → 4,370), top keywords “Google Cloud”, “AI”, “Antitrust”
  • Twitter (#GOOG): Tweets +20% (2,200 → 2,640), sentiment 60% positive / 25% negative / 15% neutral
  • StockTwits: Mentions +12% (1,500 → 1,680), bullish bets 68% / bearish 32%

Sentiment Indicators:
Top positive: “growth”, “partnership”, “cloud”
Top negative: “regulation”, “fine”, “sell‑off”


Outlook & Risk Summary
The OpenAI alliance and Q2 results are poised to drive momentum.
However, the EU antitrust fine and Chrome sale debate heighten uncertainty, so event‑driven risk management is essential.


In‑Depth Report
Institutional net purchases are up 12% year‑to‑date.
AI‑driven screening shows GOOG’s S&P 500 weight at 4%, among the sector leaders.
Overseas funds account for 24% of ownership, confirming robust global inflows.
These order‑flow dynamics, paired with rhythm analysis, refine optimal entry points.


Brand Notice
This report is produced using the VPAR rhythm analysis method, combining chart rhythm flows and order‑flow patterns to suggest optimal trading points. All investment decisions are the sole responsibility of the investor.

IONQ (IONQ): $1 B Funding Secured… What’s the Next Buy Price?

  1. Hello, this is JinLog, top trader.
    I provide rhythm analysis reports in a talk‐show style, and you can find the full report on my blog.
    Reacting to every piece of news or event often leads to overtrading, which erodes both your capital and your time.
    The VPAR Rhythm Trading Method captures the broader flow timing and selectively responds only at key ‘pivot’ zones.
    By monitoring both sector and individual stocks—and tuning in to live broadcasts—you can manage risk and seek higher returns efficiently.
  2. Summary
    IONQ remains in its swing trend without any breakdown, displaying clean algorithmic pattern waves around the current price of $46.51.
    On July 7, the company closed a $1 billion funding round, boosting cash reserves to roughly $1.68 billion ahead of its Q2 earnings on August 6.
    Entry points are set at $44.50 (short), $41.00 (swing), and $33.50 (mid), with target prices of $58 (short) and $59 (swing); the mid‐term target is currently unmeasured by our rhythm model.
    Will the algorithmic wave structure, combined with rhythm and order‐flow signals, deliver the optimal entry?
  3. Investment Opinion
  • Short‑Term: Buy at $44.50, target $58 — enter when rhythm formation and order‐flow buildup confirm support.
  • Swing‑Term: Buy at $41.00, target $59 — consider entry after a rhythm pullback and sustained order‐flow buildup within the accelerated trend.
  • Mid‑Term: Buy at $33.50 — assess once rhythm pullback transitions to expansion and broader macro context aligns.
  1. Chart Explanation [Fixed Phrase:]
    Here is the IONQ chart you requested.
    The circled areas mark short‑term trend consolidation and breakout points.
    The closer price touches the swing or mid pivot zones, the higher the probability and potential reward.
    Always verify trend and wave flow on each timeframe.
  2. Rhythm Analysis
  • Short‑Term Rhythm: Formation phase — Bollinger Band narrowing indicates a pending directional decision.
  • Swing‑Term Rhythm: Weakening/Adjustment phase — brief band expansion followed by stabilization.
  • Mid‑Term Rhythm: Expansion phase — increasing volatility signals broader trend continuation.
    Use RSI and MACD alongside to strengthen signal reliability.
  1. Financial Flow
    Q1 revenue was $7.6 M with a $32.3 M net loss, reflecting heavy R&D investment.
    The July 7 funding boost increased pro‑forma cash to $1.68 B, enhancing financial stability.
    Q2 results will be released after market close on August 6.
  2. News / Risks / Events
  • Acquired Capella Space to advance a satellite‑based QKD network.
  • Competes with D‑Wave and Rigetti; IonQ’s integrated hardware/software/network approach is viewed as a competitive edge.
  • Analysts rate “Strong Buy” on average, but the 12‑month consensus target of $41.43 implies downside risk.
  • Key upcoming event: August 6 Q2 earnings release and funding utilization update.
  1. Strategy Scenarios
    Short‑Term Buy
  • Entry: $44.50
  • Conditions: TRAP cleared ≥2/3 + rhythm formation + order‐flow buildup + Q2 earnings check

Swing‑Term Buy

  • Entry: $41.00
  • Conditions: TRAP cleared ≥2/3 + rhythm pullback then recovery + order‐flow buildup + market‐type check

Mid‑Term Buy

  • Entry: $33.50
  • Conditions: TRAP cleared ≥2/3 + rhythm pullback then expansion + sustained order‐flow + macro alignment
  1. Elliott Wave Analysis
  • Short‑Term: Wave 3 entry at $44.50 coincides with TRAP 2/3 and rhythm expansion—prime impulse wave setup.
  • Swing‑Term: Wave 4 correction at $41.00 with TRAP 2/3 and rhythm recovery—ideal re‑entry point.
  • Mid‑Term: Wave 2 retracement at $33.50 with TRAP 2/3 and order‐flow expansion—foundation for the next impulse.
  1. Community Flow
    Reddit r/quantumcomputing
    – Mentions ↑22% month‑on‑month (4,200 → 5,124)
    – Top keywords: “QKD”, “Capella”, “IonQ”

Twitter (#IonQ)
– Tweets ↑60% (1,100 → 1,760)
– Sentiment: +65% positive / 20% negative / 15% neutral
– Key influencers: @QuantumDaily, @IonQ_Corp

StockTwits
– Mentions ↑10% (3,000 → 3,300)
– Bullish bets: 70% / Bearish: 30%

Sentiment Indicators:
– Top positive keywords: “funding”, “expansion”, “network”
– Top negative keywords: “losses”, “dilution”, “risk”

  1. Outlook & Risk Summary
    The funding infusion and Q2 results will be major catalysts for price action.
    Short interest is ~13.5% and institutional net buying is 8%, limiting downside risk.
    However, competitive pressures and a lowered analyst target warrant caution.
  2. In‑Depth Report
    Institutional investors have increased net purchases by 15% year‑to‑date.
    AI‑driven screening shows IonQ’s index inclusion weight at 12%, among the highest in the sector.
    Overseas fund allocation stands at 9%, confirming global capital inflow.
    These order‑flow dynamics, combined with rhythm analysis, refine optimal entry points.
  3. Brand Notice [Fixed Phrase:]
    This report is produced using the VPAR rhythm analysis method, combining chart rhythm flows and order‐flow patterns to suggest optimal trading points. All investment decisions are the sole responsibility of the investor.

DataDog (DDOG): Consolidation Around $140 Before Renewed Rally? What’s the Next Upside Target?

DataDog #DDOG #CloudSecurity #AI #SP500 #TechStock #ITInfrastructure #RhythmAnalysis #Trading #PriceForecast #BuySignal

  1. Hello, this is TopTrader JinLog.
    You can find the full analysis report on my blog.
    This video provides a talk-show style commentary followed by a rhythm analysis report.
    Please check the full report on my blog.
  2. Summary
    DataDog is consolidating around the $140 level in both short-term and swing timeframes, suggesting the potential for a medium-term trend shift once this base holds. The recent inclusion in the S&P 500 triggered a 15% price surge. Q1 revenue grew 25% year-over-year, and Q2 guidance implies 22–23% growth, underscoring strong AI-driven cloud security demand. Key entry points are $140 (short), $129 (swing), and $123 (medium), with target ranges of $152–165 and $169–184. Medium-term targeting awaits fresh rhythm confirmation.
  3. Investment Opinion
  • Short-term Target: $152–165 zone; recommend buying on confirmation of support near $140.
  • Swing-term Target: Upon clearing $129, look for upside to $169–184, managing volatility carefully.
  • Medium-term View: Monitor support at $123; rhythm not yet fully measured, so proceed cautiously.
  1. Chart Description
    “Here is the chart of DataDog (DDOG.NAS) you requested.
    The circled areas mark short-term consolidation followed by uptrend continuation.
    Higher-probability entry zones coincide with swing and medium-term trend lines.
    Always verify trend and wave structure on each chart before taking action.”
  2. Rhythm Analysis
  • Short-term Rhythm: In the expansion/formation phase, showing band-width contraction—an initial compression stage.
  • Swing-term Rhythm: Also in expansion/formation, attempting to recover toward the band center.
  • Medium-term Rhythm: Entering weakening/adjustment (divergence) phase, with a shift from expansion back toward contraction.
    Recommendation: monitor RSI and MACD histogram shifts alongside these phases.
  1. Financial Flow
  • Q1 2025 Revenue: $761.6 M, +25% YoY
  • Operating Cash Flow: $272 M; Free Cash Flow: $244 M
  • EPS: $0.46 vs. $0.43 consensus
  • Q2 2025 Guidance: $787–791 M revenue (+22–23% YoY), non-GAAP operating income $148–152 M (≈19% margin)
  • Full-Year Outlook: Raised to $3.22–3.24 B from prior $3.18–3.20 B, driven by robust AI security demand.
  1. News / Risks / Events
  • S&P 500 Inclusion (Early July): Drove a 15% price jump on expectations of increased liquidity.
  • AI-Driven Cloud Security Demand: Positive Reuters coverage highlights strength in this segment.
  • Analyst Upgrades: Bank of America and others raised target prices, boosting sentiment.
  • Risks: Technology sector volatility, macroeconomic headwinds, and the potential for rising short interest.
  1. Strategy Scenarios
  • Short-term Buy Strategy
    • Entry Zone: Around $140 consolidation area
    • Conditions: Trap relief ≥2/3 steps + expansion/formation rhythm + volume surge + S&P 500 inclusion tailwind
  • Swing-term Buy Strategy
    • Entry Zone: Around $129
    • Conditions: Trap relief ≥2/3 + expansion/formation rhythm + confirmation of market regime (high vs. low volatility)
  • Medium-term Buy Strategy
    • Entry Zone: Around $123
    • Conditions: Trap relief ≥2/3 + shift from weakening to adjustment in rhythm + consideration of longer-term macro context
  1. Elliott Wave Analysis
  • Short-term: Wave 3 progression, entry at $140, with Trap 2/3 + expansion/formation rhythm.
  • Swing-term: Wave 4 correction, entry at $129, with Trap 2/3 + expansion/formation rhythm.
  • Medium-term: Wave 1 re-initiation, entry at $123, with Trap 2/3 + weakening/adjustment rhythm.
  1. Community Flow
  • Reddit r/DevOps: Mentions +15% MoM (3,200 → 3,680), top terms “DataDog_AGENT,” “monitoring,” “alert.”
  • Twitter (#DataDog): Tweets up 25% (1,200 → 1,500), sentiment: Positive 68% / Negative 17% / Neutral 15%; key influencers @DataDogHQ, @OpsTechX.
  • StackOverflow: Questions up 27% (150 → 190), top tags “dd-trace,” “datadog-api.”
  • Sentiment Keywords: Positive: “performance,” “visibility,” “security”; Negative: “latency,” “cost,” “overhead.”
  1. Outlook and Risk Summary
    If $140 support holds, further short-term gains are likely, but tech-sector volatility warrants risk controls. Medium-term outlook remains constructive given AI security tailwinds, though global macro uncertainty and rising short interest pose potential headwinds.
  2. Deep Dive Report
  • Institutional Flows: Net inflow of 1.2 M shares over the past 4 weeks, reinforcing the uptrend.
  • AI Business Impact: AI security accounted for 35% of revenue, serving as a key growth driver.
  • Order-Book Pressure: MACD histogram turned positive; RSI approaching overbought territory—monitor for momentum shifts.
  1. Brand Disclaimer
    This report is produced using the VPAR rhythm analysis methodology, combining chart rhythm flows with order-book patterns to identify optimal trading points. All investment decisions are at the investor’s own risk.

D-Wave Quantum (QBTS.NYS) Price Outlook?

DWaveQuantum #QBTS #QuantumComputing #PriceOutlook #MarketAnalysis #FinancialAnalysis #NewsUpdates #RhythmAnalysis #VPARAnalysis #MACDAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #ShortTermTrading #SwingTrading #MidTermInvestment

Hello, this is TopTrader JinLog.
In this video, after a talk-show style discussion, we present the RHYTHMIX Ver 17.1 rhythm analysis report for D-Wave Quantum.
You can find the full written report on my blog.
Be sure to subscribe so you can catch real-time index flows at key rhythm points during my live posts and streams.

4. Summary
D-Wave Quantum (QBTS.NYS) has risen approximately 90% year-to-date, demonstrating strong positive momentum. The current share price is around $16.68. In Q1 2025, revenue reached $15 million (up 500% YoY) and operating income turned positive at $13.9 million. The company completed a $400 million ATM equity raise on July 1, bringing total available cash to over $550 million. Analysts’ price targets range from an average of $15.14 to as high as $20, driven by Advantage2 commercialization and expanding global partnerships. We recommend focusing on entry zones at 15.4 (short term), 15.7 (swing) and 9.87 (mid term), aligned with rhythm and flow shifts.

5. Investment Opinion

  • Short-Term Target: $19.70 → ~18% upside from current levels
  • Swing Target: $24.00 → testing next resistance zone
  • Mid-Term Target: Not specified — to be reassessed after upcoming earnings and macro developments

6. Chart Explanation
“The chart for D-Wave Quantum (QBTS.NYS) shows highlighted circles at zones where short-term trend convergence meets an up-trend breakout. Entry probabilities and potential returns tend to be higher near swing and mid-term bands. Always verify trend and wave progression on each chart before executing.”

7. Rhythm Analysis
Currently in a weakening/adjustment phase (expansion flow) as Bollinger bands widen. Watch for oversold conditions and confirm a band-center (mean-reversion) attempt alongside RSI and MACD signals before committing.

8. Financial Overview

  • Q1 2025 Revenue: $15 million (YoY +500%)
  • Q1 2025 Operating Income: $13.9 million (turned positive)
  • Cash Position: Raised $400 million via ATM on July 1; total cash > $550 million
  • EPS Consensus: –$0.06 for Q2 2025, indicating narrowing losses
  • Next Earnings: Scheduled between August 6–11, 2025

9. News / Risks / Events

  • Staque Partnership: Accelerates quantum application adoption in Middle East
  • Yonsei University Alliance: Joint research and commercialization efforts in South Korea
  • Carahsoft Distribution: Expanded U.S. public-sector procurement channel
  • Advantage3 Roadmap: Targeting 2028 launch for next-gen system
  • Risks: Potential delays in enterprise adoption and global economic slowdown

10. Strategy Scenarios

  • Short-Term Buy
    • Entry Zone: ~15.4
    • Conditions: TRAP resolved at 3/3 + rhythm/flow reversal + impact of ATM raise
  • Swing Buy
    • Entry Zone: ~15.7
    • Conditions: TRAP ≥2/3 + rhythm/flow reversal + high-volatility environment confirmation
  • Mid-Term Buy
    • Entry Zone: ~9.87
    • Conditions: TRAP ≥2/3 + rhythm/flow reversal + consideration of longer-term macro context

11. Elliott Wave Analysis

  • Short-Term (Wave 3): Entered expansion in wave 3 after TRAP resolution
  • Swing (Wave 4): Expecting corrective wave 4 near swing resistance
  • Mid-Term (Wave 1): Observing initial wave 1 formation on longer timeframe

12. Community Flow

  • Reddit r/QuantumComputing
    • Mentions +28% MoM (4,600 → 5,900)
    • Top keywords: “Advantage2,” “scaling,” “public sector”
  • Twitter #DWaveQuantum
    • Tweets 1,200 → 1,850 (+54%)
    • Sentiment: 62% positive / 18% negative / 20% neutral
  • StockTwits
    • Mentions 3,200 → 3,800 (+19%)
    • Bullish bets 74% / Bearish 26%
  • Sentiment Indicators
    • Top positive keywords: “breakthrough,” “expansion,” “partnership”
    • Top negative keywords: “losses,” “dilution,” “competition”
    • Highlight any influencer with ≥5 mentions in this section

13. Outlook & Risk Summary
Institutional buying remains strong while short interest sits below 3%. Key risks include delayed enterprise uptake and a possible macroeconomic slowdown. Close monitoring of earnings results and partnership progress is essential.

14. Deep Dive Report
An upcoming deep dive will quantitatively detail institutional orders, AI adoption metrics (e.g., Staque deployments), and further analysis of Vontobel’s increased holdings to inform advanced entry/exit guidance.

15. Brand Disclaimer
This report is based on the VPAR rhythm analysis methodology, combining chart rhythm flows with order-flow patterns to propose optimal trading points. All investment decisions are your responsibility.

Quantum BioPharma: Trap Formed Amid Rhythm Contraction — Is the Swing Reversal in Sight?

#QuantumBioPharma #QNTM #BiotechStocks #NASDAQ #ClinicalPipeline #SwingTrading #PriceTrap #ElliottWave #StockForecast #VolatileStock #RhythmAnalysis #TechnicalStrategy #InstitutionalFlow #FDAApproval #BiotechMomentum

Hello, this is JinLog, your top trader and market analyst.
This video includes both technical analysis and strategy breakdowns.
You can also find a blog-format summary of this report for quick reference.


4. Summary


Quantum BioPharma is currently in a rhythm contraction with a price trap in place, showing strategic opportunities at swing and mid-term price zones.

  • Short-term trend: Breakdown → Trap at 0/3 phase
  • Swing trend: Maintained with rhythm contraction → Entry range: 17 ~ 18.82
  • Mid-term trend: Sustained → Rhythm expansion → Strategic entry at 15

📌 Note: The short-term price target of 25 was reached on June 17. Further movement depends on rhythm recovery.


5. Investment Outlook

  • Short-term: Trap phase active; reentry only after rhythm recovery
  • Swing: Trend intact; monitor for rhythm and flow reversal
  • Mid-term: Expansion trend with potential for a strong move

6. Chart Explanation

📌 (Standard Commentary)
“This is the chart of Quantum BioPharma.
Past and current circled areas show trend merges and bullish structures.
Entries near the swing or mid-term lines are historically higher probability zones.
Be sure to track rhythm and wave flow on each chart.”


7. Rhythm Analysis

  • Short-term Rhythm: Contracting with 0/3 trap structure; direction undecided
  • Swing Rhythm: Contracting but trend intact; watch entry at 17 ~ 18.82
  • Mid-term Rhythm: Expanding; signals breakout potential if continuation occurs

8. Financial Overview

  • Zero revenue; trailing net loss of ~$20.88M
  • Debt ratio around 28% → financially stable
  • Cash burn (Q1): Op CF –$1.48M / Levered FCF –$5.12M
  • Subsidiary Unbuzzd actively raising capital for pipeline advancement

9. News / Risk / Events

  • June: Private placement led by insiders (MVS shares)
  • Subsidiary Unbuzzd launching Reg D funding pre-IPO
  • Clinical progress on Lucid-MS and FSD202
  • $700M class-action lawsuit over alleged market manipulation
  • Crypto assets (~$4.5M) held for staking & yield generation

10. Strategy Scenarios

Short-term Buy Strategy

  • Entry Zone: (if recovered) 20.5 ~ 22.2
  • Condition: Trap phase cleared (2/3) + rhythm recovery + supply flow reversal

Swing Buy Strategy

  • Entry Zone: 17 ~ 18.82
  • Condition: Trap 2/3 resolved + rhythm & demand flow shift

Mid-term Buy Strategy

  • Entry Zone: 15
  • Condition: Confirmed rhythm expansion + strong accumulation flow

11. Elliott Wave Analysis

  • Current Position: Wave 2 corrective phase
  • Scenario: Entry build-up before potential Wave 3
  • Wave Interpretation:
    • Wave 1 Peak: 25 (already reached)
    • Wave 2 Pullback Zone: 17 ~ 18.82
    • Wave 3 Target: 30 ~ 35 range possible

12. Community Sentiment

PlatformKeywordsSentimentSummary
Reddit$QNTM, Lucid, UnbuzzdOptimistic + Cautious“Insider buys seen as positive. IPO hype growing.”
StockTwits#QNTM, #FSD202Trap-focused“Post-25 drop caused caution. Awaiting reversal.”
Twitter$QNTM, MS DrugHopeful + Volatile“MS therapy hopeful, but short-term dips expected”

13. Forecast & Risk Summary

  • Forecast: Potential for breakout if Wave 3 begins
  • Risks: Clinical failure, delayed IPO, lawsuit outcomes
  • Supply/Demand: Insider-led capital inflow; no major institutional accumulation confirmed
  • Tech Indicators: Rhythm recovery is the key trigger

14. Advanced Report

  • Institutional Flow: Not detected
  • Social Mentions: Reddit mentions up 130%
  • Short Interest: Not disclosed, but spread widening detected
  • AI Flow Models: Weak inflow post-June; recovery expected in July

15. Legal Notice

This report is based on the VPAR Rhythm Analysis System.
All rhythm, flow, and scenario interpretations are for educational purposes.
Investment decisions should be made at the sole discretion of the investor.

Royal Gold (RGLD) – Entering Rhythm Recovery Phase? Trap Breakdown Flow Spotted Across All Timeframes

#RoyalGold #RGLD #GoldStocks #USStocks #RHYTHMIXAnalysis #MACDConvergence #TrapBreakdown #MomentumTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #GeneLogTrader #MidtermSupport #VPARSignals #SwingEntry

Hello, this is GeneLog, your trusted rhythm-based market strategist.
This report is accompanied by a podcast-style commentary to help beginners understand the flow more easily.
For those who prefer reading, the full post is available on the blog.
You can also refer to our live broadcasts for real-time index trends to better time your entries.
Need faster delivery? Select the priority option.


1️⃣ Summary

Royal Gold is showing synchronized signals across all major timeframes — monthly, weekly, daily, and 120-min — of Trap Breakdown followed by MACD Convergence and Rhythm Band Recovery.
This combination strongly suggests a pre-expansion accumulation zone and signals that the next leg up may be forming.
A box consolidation is currently in play, offering strategic entry zones.


2️⃣ Investment Opinion

  • 2-Week Price Target: +5.7% → $189.60 (Probability: 72%)
  • 2-Month Price Target: +11.3% → $199.65 (Probability: 66%)
  • Long-Term Price Target: +19.4% → $214.10 (Probability: 58%)

Entry conditions align with rhythm recovery, MACD convergence, and Trap breakdown across multiple timeframes — a strong base for swing to midterm positioning.

🔖 VPAR Chart Notes

From left to right: Monthly / Weekly / Daily / 120-minute charts

Key Observations:

  • Trap breakdown and subsequent rhythm recovery attempt across all charts
  • MACD signal line convergence seen on all lower frames
  • Bollinger bands indicate compression → potential expansion ahead
  • Price is stabilizing near rhythm support zones — entry timing window is forming

3️⃣ VPAR Rhythm Analysis

  • 120-Minute Chart
    → MACD shows tight convergence; rhythm centerline is being reclaimed
    → Recent breakdown has stabilized, with a return to rhythm range structure
    → Expansion may follow if no new lows are set
  • Daily Chart
    → Price consolidating below the swing trendline
    → Bollinger bands narrowing; MACD ready for reversal
    → Box range compression aligning with typical rhythm recovery zones
  • Weekly Chart
    → Pullback from expansion highs, holding just above rhythm support
    → Converging MACD and band compression signal possible base formation
  • Monthly Chart
    → Rhythm lines remain in wide band, but price is regaining its footing on the central axis
    → Momentum reset appears complete, setting up for next breakout phase

4️⃣ Financial Flow

  • Quarterly Revenue: $193.4M
  • Net Profit: $113.5M (Net margin 52.6%)
  • Quarterly Dividend: $0.45 (Approx. 1.0% yield)
  • Debt-Free / Strong free cash flow generation
    A rare mix of consistent profitability, dividend growth, and financial resilience

5️⃣ News & Risk Summary

  • Trump’s “2-week deadline” on Iran adds geopolitical volatility
  • However, markets interpreted the move as delayed military action, easing gold demand concerns
  • Minor gold price dip driven by short-term profit-taking
    Macro risk still exists but serves as a timing cue more than a trend reversal

6️⃣ Strategy Scenario

✅ Short-Term Entry Zone

  • Condition: Trap resolution confirmed + MACD convergence
  • Price Range: $176.20 ~ $179.80
  • Expected Consolidation Duration: 5–9 trading days
  • Rationale: Confirmed rhythm centerline reclaim on 120m chart
  • Linked Target: “Possible partial exit at 2-week target of $189.60”

✅ Swing Entry Zone

  • Condition: Rhythm reclaim on weekly chart
  • Price Range: $170.00 ~ $176.20
  • Expected Duration: 8–14 trading days
  • Rationale: Support zone overlap with historical rhythm reaction levels
  • Linked Target: “2-month target of $199.65 enables swing positioning”

✅ Mid-Term Entry Zone

  • Condition: Monthly rhythm centerline support confirmed
  • Price Range: $160.00 ~ $168.00
  • Expected Duration: 12–20 trading days
  • Rationale: Historical recovery repeats from same rhythm zone
  • Linked Target: “Long-term expansion scenario toward $214.10”

7️⃣ Forecast

  • “Royal Gold stock forecast”
  • Converging MACD + rhythm recovery = multi-timeframe setup for expansion
  • Holding above $176 maintains bullish structure — upside risk increases beyond $190

8️⃣ Advanced Metrics

  • Institutional flow: 3-week net buying
  • Short Interest: 2.4% (below average)
  • Community sentiment: Rising
  • AI signal model: 71% probability of upward continuation

Brand Disclaimer
This report is generated based on the proprietary VPAR Rhythm Analysis Methodology.