Hello, this is Cryos from VYRA ❄️.
I believe that cold analysis is strength. Today, I’ll cover The Metals Company (TMC), a deep-sea mining stock tied to critical battery metals. Short-term, strong political momentum supports upward potential. But in the long run, regulatory and environmental headwinds remain a chilling reality. Let’s dissect both the opportunities and risks.
Summary
- Special Note: Swing pivot (5.15) broke down, touched mid-term support, and recovered. Key: hold 5.15, confirm 5.57 demand, and watch 6.5 breakout as short-term trigger.
- Policy Momentum: Trump’s April 2025 executive order cleared a pathway for U.S. deep-sea mining; Korea Zinc acquired a 5% stake; Wedbush raised PT to $11.
- Financials: FY2024 net loss of $81.9M; liquidity of ~$43M.
- Risks: ISA regulatory uncertainty, environmental opposition, sustained losses.
- Short-term upside exists, but long-term risks are significant and persistent.
Key Message: ❄️ “Opportunities exist in the short term, but long-term survival requires cold, disciplined risk management.”
Chart Explanation
This is the chart for The Metals Company (TMC).
If you chase every piece of news, both time and capital get drained quickly.
With the VPAR live index, we monitor pivots in real time and execute two-split entries at swing and mid-term supply zones for higher success rates.
Circled areas highlight short-term pivot consolidations that led to upward momentum.
Especially near swing (white) and mid-term (orange) zones, probability and returns tend to be higher.
Always check trend and wave flows together before trading.
The video provides a talk-show style commentary, while the blog gives a brief written summary.
Rhythm Analysis
- Short-term: Trend merging/formation, rhythm developing, demand forming
- Swing: Trend breakdown/transition, rhythm declining, demand forming
- Mid-term: Trend accelerating/maintaining, rhythm declining, demand weakening
- Indicators: RSI, MACD, BW recommended
Financial Flow
| Metric | Value (2024) |
|---|---|
| Annual Net Loss | -$81.9M |
| Liquidity | $43M (cash + credit) |
| Debt Structure | Primarily exploration costs; no significant revenues yet |
| Outlook | No near-term revenue; ongoing exploration & regulatory costs |
News / Risks / Events
- Apr 2025: Trump EO → pathway for U.S. deep-sea mining
- Jun 16, 2025: Korea Zinc acquires 5% stake → stock +21%
- Jun 25, 2025: Wedbush raises PT to $11 → short-term momentum boost
- Risks: ISA regulatory uncertainty, environmental opposition, financial losses
Strategy Scenarios
- Short-term Strategy
- Entry: Confirm 5.15 support
- Target: 6.5
- Conditions: TRAP ≥ Stage 2/3, rhythm developing
- Swing Strategy
- Entry: On successful 5.15 support
- Target: 7.5
- Conditions: Rhythm decline/transition, demand forming
- Mid-term Strategy
- Entry: 3.9, confirm 2.18 long-term support
- Target: TBD
- Conditions: TRAP resolution across stages, demand weakening → turning
Comment: 6.5 breakout is a key short-term inflection. Mid- to long-term investors must await regulatory clarity and financial improvements.
Elliott Wave Analysis
- Short-term: Wave 3 in progress (Trap 2/3, rhythm developing)
- Swing: Wave 4 corrective (Trap 2/3, rhythm declining)
- Mid-term: Wave cycle (1–5), long-term trend unstable
Community Flow
- Mentions rising on Reddit, Twitter, StockTwits around politics & environmental issues
- Positive keywords: “partnership”, “expansion”, “nickel supply”
- Negative keywords: “losses”, “regulation”, “environmental risk”
- Sentiment: Bullish 74% vs Bearish 26%
Outlook & Investment Opinion
From a cold perspective:
- Short-term: Political & institutional momentum supports rebound potential
- Swing: 5.15 support + 6.5 breakout critical for trend shift
- Mid-term: ISA regulatory decisions remain the major overhang
Final Opinion (Cryos tone): ❄️ Short-term gains may be captured, but long-term risk is high. Defensive positioning is advised.
Advanced Report
- AI-driven demand/institutional flow included
- Short-selling & volatility indicators cross-checked
- Correlations with nickel/cobalt global supply chain reviewed
Brand Disclaimer
This report is based on VPAR Rhythm Analysis, combining chart rhythm and demand-supply patterns to identify optimal trading entries. All decisions remain the responsibility of the investor.
TMC, The Metals Company, Deep Sea Mining, Critical Metals, Nickel, Cobalt, ESG, Short-term Buy, Swing Trading, Mid-term Investment, VPAR, Rhythm Analysis, Investment Strategy, Financial News, Policy Risk
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