Hello, this is Jin‑Log, your top trader.
In this video‑style report, we dissect key moves and context, and you can find the full write‑up on the blog.
Endless news and events can tempt you into overtrading, which erodes both your capital and time.
The VPAR Rhythm Trading Method isolates only the most critical news and events that align with major support zones (“pivot points”).
By combining sector overview with live monitoring of indices, you can manage risk while pursuing high returns.
Summary
– Trading at $16.16, Joby Aviation carries a market cap of roughly $14.17 billion.
– Since hitting our June 7 target, selling pressure broke the daily short‑term trendline, triggering a ~2‑week correction.
– As of Q3 2024, Joby held $710 million in cash and short‑term investments, ensuring ample runway.
– June 2025 saw Joby complete its first pilot conversion flight in Dubai, boosting commercial rollout expectations.
Investment Opinion
- Short‑Term: With the short‑term trendline broken, consider booking partial profits and wait for the 2‑week correction to unfold before re‑entering.
- Swing: Maintain staggered entries around $11.50; reduce exposure near prior swing highs and prepare to re‑enter on the next corrective leg.
- Mid‑Term: Build positions incrementally around $9.00, adding when rhythm indicators show renewed strength and liquidity expands.
Chart Explanation
“This is the daily chart for Joby Aviation (JOBY.NYS).
The June 7 circle highlights the short‑term consolidation and target achievement,
while near swing and mid‑term pivots offer lower‑risk re‑entry zones.
Always confirm trend, rhythm, and volume dynamics on each timeframe.”
Rhythm Analysis
- Short‑Term Rhythm: Entered a deceleration/adjustment phase following expansion and trap resolution—currently in a weakening rhythm.
- Swing Rhythm: Recovering around the pivot, showing sustained ascent signals.
- Mid‑Term Rhythm: Strong expansion beyond the bands, with continuing upward momentum.
Financial Flow
– Held $710 million cash & equivalents as of Q3 2024, securing operational runway.
– Toyota’s $500 million investment lifted total funding to $894 million, underpinning production readiness.
News / Risks / Events
- FAA Certification: Final flight tests are ~80% complete, targeting full approval by 2026.
- Dubai Pilot Flight: June’s conversion flight success paves the way for four vertiport rollouts across Dubai.
- Sector Risks: Lilium’s funding challenges and regulatory delays underscore eVTOL industry funding and approval risks.
Strategy Scenarios
- Short‑Term Buy
- Entry Zone: $14.70 (June 7 pivot)
- Conditions: Trap resolution ≥ 2/3 + initial rhythm recovery + fading selling pressure
- Swing Buy
- Entry Zone: $11.50
- Conditions: Sustained rhythm ascent + market sentiment rebound
- Mid‑Term Buy
- Entry Zone: $9.00
- Conditions: Expanding liquidity flows + Dubai commercialization catalyst
Elliott Wave Analysis
- Short‑Term: Completed Wave 3 at $14.70, monitor for Trap 2/3 during Wave 4 correction.
- Swing: Wave 4 correction around $11.50; watch for Wave 5 resumption.
- Mid‑Term: Wave 5 acceleration expected, fueled by Dubai service launch.
Community Flow
- StockTwits: 22,437 watchers; ~96 mentions in the past 24 hours.
- Retail Sentiment: Buy score 66/100; message volume up 284%.
- Reddit r/JobyAviation: Active discussions on equity raises and funding strategy three weeks ago.
Outlook and Risk Summary
Ample cash and strategic partnerships with Toyota and Dubai bolster mid‑term growth, but eVTOL funding constraints and regulatory timelines remain key risks. Leverage the current pullback as a tactical re‑entry opportunity, while closely monitoring certification progress and major events.
Deep Dive Report
– Quantitative analysis of AI‑driven order flow and institutional activity
– Detailed volume profile and liquidity convergence/divergence metrics
– Automated community sentiment integration
Brand Disclaimer
→ This report employs the VPAR Rhythm Trading Method, combining chart rhythms and liquidity patterns to identify optimal entry points. All investment decisions are the responsibility of the investor.