[As of 2025/06/10~11 Closing — Strategy Scenario Update]
🎯 Entry (2~3 Tiered Entry Strategy)
Short-term demand zone (near box centerline):
→ Around $27.00 ~ $27.50 → Valid for first entry
→ Currently closed around $27.65 → entering box centerline retest zone
Swing demand zone (swing trendline + center convergence zone):
→ Around $26.20 ~ $26.80 → Second entry zone
→ Matches lower convergence of monthly/weekly swing trendline (BW 0.5 / 1 merge zone)
Mid-term demand zone (response if breaking below mid-box center):
→ Around $25.50 ~ $25.80 → Consider third entry (positioning for deeper pullback)
🎯 Targets (with probabilities %)
2-week Target:
→ Around $30.50 → Attempt to reclaim upper box level / 65% probability
2-month Target:
→ Around $34.85 → Scenario for retesting mid-term box top / 70% probability
2-year Long-term Target:
→ Around $62.00 → Long-term target in case of extended rhythm expansion across monthly/annual trend / 75% probability
🚫 Stop-Loss / Position Adjustment Strategy
If short-term demand zone $27.00 breaks below:
→ Reduce short-term position or partially exit first entry
If swing demand zone $26.20 breaks below:
→ Reduce swing position or exit swing entry
If mid-term demand zone $25.50 breaks below:
→ Fully exit mid-term position
👉 Summary:
Currently retesting box centerline → First entry remains valid
Additional positioning possible at $26.80 / $25.50 zones upon further pullback
Annual/monthly rhythm suggests potential for continued expansion during 2025 → $62.00 long-term target remains valid.
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RocketLab #RKLB #DroneStocks #UAS #AerospaceDefense #USStocks #BreakoutStocks #MilitaryTech #SpaceStocks #AI #DefenseETF #USDefenseStocks #DronePolicy #RocketLabAnalysis
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2️⃣ Summary
✅ What breakout/ breakdown triggers should we watch for in this rhythm analysis? Let’s check below.
RKLB recently surged on UAS & Drone Policy momentum and is currently consolidating after a strong breakout.
Chart analysis:
- 120-min: Strong bullish wave → upper box trap → volume declining → re-acceleration possible
- Daily: Multiple bullish candles → testing box center support
- Weekly: Breakout above box top → consolidating → mid-term bullish intact
- Monthly: Breakout from mid-box → entering large bullish wave
→ Mid-term bullish rhythm intact, with potential for re-acceleration post consolidation.
1️⃣ Investment Opinion
📌 Short-term: Consolidating inside box → buy-the-dip opportunities valid
📌 Mid-term: Bullish rhythm intact → re-acceleration potential remains
📌 Policy trigger (Drone Executive Order) + Defense sector momentum supportive
→ Performance Expectation
- 2-week target: +5.5% → $30.80 (Probability 60%)
- 2-month target: +19.3% → $34.85 (Probability 68%)
- 2-year long-term target: +112.4% → $62.00 (Probability 78%)
VPAR Chart Explanation This is Rocket Lab (RKLB), as requested for analysis. The circled areas in the past and present are potential short-term trend (yellow) consolidation and upward trend points. These points have a higher probability and potential return when they are near the swing line (white) or medium-term line (orange). Each chart has its own wave trend and tension. Currently, after finding support at the medium-term resistance/supply level in March-April, it is showing the flow of the medium-term trend (monthly wave) again and is being considered as a potential point for a short-term or swing trend. For specific entry points, please refer to the strategy scenario and report.
3️⃣ VPAR Rhythm Analysis
Monthly
- Rhythm: Breakout from mid-box → large bullish wave ongoing
- Bands: Above dotted top → no overbought signals
- MACD: Upward divergence maintained
Weekly
- Rhythm: Breakout above box top → consolidating → mid-term bullish intact
- Bands: Testing support after breakout
- RSI: Normalizing after overbought
Daily
- Rhythm: Multiple bullish candles → testing box center support
- Bands: Testing box center → potential for breakout continuation
- MACD: Maintaining upward divergence
120-min
- Rhythm: Strong bullish wave → upper trap → declining volume → potential re-acceleration
- Volume: Decreasing → possible re-entry zone
- Trap: Upper trap → monitoring for breakout recovery
4️⃣ Financials
- Q1 2025 revenue: $123M → YoY +32%
- Net loss: $26.2M → narrowing
- Backlog: $603M → all-time high
- Cash: $216M → very strong liquidity
5️⃣ News & Risk Summary
News
- Drone Executive Order → strong policy momentum
- Defense & military contract expansion driving backlog growth
- Continued growth in space launch services
Risks
- Post-surge price pressure
- Drone/Defense policy uncertainty could slow momentum
- Defense budget volatility risk
6️⃣ Strategy Scenario
🎯 Entry
- Buy in the $28.80 ~ $29.20 range
🎯 Targets
- 1st target: $30.80 (Probability 60%)
- 2nd target: $34.85 (Probability 68%)
- 3rd target (Long-term): $62.00 (Probability 78%)
🚫 Stop-Loss
- Below $27.80 → trim half
- Below $25.50 → full exit
7️⃣ Outlook
Mid-term bullish rhythm remains valid, supported by Drone Policy and Defense sector momentum.
Currently consolidating inside box → potential re-acceleration if key supports hold.
→ “Policy trigger continuity will be key for sustaining the bullish rhythm.”
8️⃣ Deep Report
- Institutional flow: Increasing institutional buying
- Short interest: ~3.2% → below average
- Social trends: Keywords like “Drone Executive Order,” “Defense sector gains,” “Backlog expansion,” “Aerospace growth” trending
✅ Summary
RKLB is currently in a bullish rhythm consolidation phase,
supported by strong policy momentum and Defense sector tailwinds.
Buy-the-dip strategy remains valid → watch for re-acceleration signals.