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2️⃣ Summary
✅ Is there still a short-term breakout potential in the current rhythm? Let’s analyze now.
BTM recently surged +23% on new CFO appointment and earnings optimism, breaking its recent highs.
Chart analysis:
- 120-min: Large bullish candle → upper trap → volume declining → consolidation likely
- Daily: Multiple bullish candles → upper box breakout → overbought signal
- Weekly: Breakout above box top → maintaining bullish structure
- Monthly: Large bullish candle → strengthening mid-term bullish rhythm
→ A classic post-breakout box consolidation phase, with potential for another bullish leg if key support holds.
1️⃣ Investment Opinion
📌 Short-term: Overbought → likely entering box consolidation → buy-the-dip opportunities
📌 Mid-term: Bullish rhythm intact → potential for re-acceleration
📌 BTC price correlation↑ / sector-wide fundamentals improving
→ Performance Expectation
- 2-week target: +6.2% → $6.60 (Probability 55%)
- 2-month target: +24.9% → $7.77 (Probability 65%)
- 2-year long-term target: +142.2% → $15.07 (Probability 75%)
VPAR Chart Explanation This is Bitcoin Depot (BTM.NAS), as requested for analysis. The circled areas in the past and present are potential short-term trend (yellow) consolidation and upward trend points. These points have a higher probability and potential return when they are near the swing line (white) or medium-term line (orange). Each chart has its own wave trend and tension. Currently, after breaking through the medium-term resistance/supply in mid-May, it is continuing the short-term trend (daily wave) and is in a state of a 33% sharp upward move (“shooting”), although the minute chart shows divergence. If 6 dollars holds as support, there is a possibility of continuing the upward trend. Even if it breaks below (6 dollars), as long as Bitcoin’s swing trend is not broken, consider entering on dips to the short-term or swing line. For specific entry points, please refer to the strategy scenario and report.
3️⃣ VPAR Rhythm Analysis
Monthly
- Rhythm: Large bullish breakout → mid-term bullish rhythm strengthening
- Bands: Broke upper box → overbought signal
- MACD: Strong bullish crossover
Weekly
- Rhythm: Breakout above box top → consolidation likely
- Bands: Above dotted top → testing center support
- RSI: Overbought → potential short-term pullback
Daily
- Rhythm: Multiple bullish candles → upper trap → possible consolidation
- Bands: Above box top → monitoring for mean reversion
- MACD: Forming bullish divergence
120-min
- Rhythm: Large bullish candle → upper trap → volume declining → box consolidation likely
- Volume: Decreasing after spike → watch for re-acceleration signals
- Trap: Upper trap → recovery attempts to be monitored
4️⃣ Financials
- TTM revenue: ~$699M → YoY +13.4%
- Net loss: ~$14.6M → losses continuing
- Aggressive expansion strategy in Bitcoin ATM market → leadership intact
- Cash: $8.5M → sufficient for next 12 months
5️⃣ News & Risk Summary
News
- New CFO appointed (ex-American Express) → increased confidence
- Expanded strategic partnership with NCR → new growth potential
- Institutional buying increasing → confirmed through recent flows
Risks
- Overbought post-surge
- Competitive pressure in ATM market
- High BTC price correlation → volatility risk
6️⃣ Strategy Scenario
🎯 Entry
- Buy in the $6.00 ~ $6.22 range
🎯 Targets
- 1st target: $6.60 (Probability 55%)
- 2nd target: $7.77 (Probability 65%)
- 3rd target (Long-term): $15.07 (Probability 75%)
🚫 Stop-Loss
- Below $5.75 → trim half
- Below $5.20 → full exit
7️⃣ Outlook
Currently entering a post-breakout consolidation phase.
Mid-term bullish momentum remains valid, with BTC price and sector news likely to act as key triggers.
→ “Monitoring box support → buy-the-dip strategy is valid in this rhythm.”
8️⃣ Deep Report
- Institutional flow: Net buying by institutions increasing
- Short interest: ~2.6% → below average for crypto stocks
- Social trends: Keywords like “New CFO,” “Bitcoin ATM growth,” “BTC rally-linked stocks” trending
✅ Summary
BTM remains in a high-volatility rhythm consolidation phase,
with valid mid-term breakout potential aligned with BTC market movements.
Buy-the-dip strategy → re-acceleration watch is valid.